May Chasing 2008

[Jason Foster]

I'm at the point too that I'm just so close to calling off my 2008 chase expedition. Even though this was suppose to be the first year chasing since having the kidney transplant, I'm not convinced that the pattern is going to give me enough sustainable chase days to be worth the $4,000 budgeted for this years trip. Plus, that money could be thrown back into investments and I'd have a much better start to the hurricane season which begins June 1st. So even though I was going to wait until May 30th to call it off, I think I'm sort of doing it now.

So hopefully, the rest of you aren't held back by a cut off date, because I suspect sometime in June (likely late) is going to have to peak in the plains this year.

 

[Kevin Crawmer]

I wouldn't give up on Monday yet. In Eastern 1/2 of KS: Temps are good. Dews are good. CAPE 4000+. Best forcing appears to be a little to the west of all this. Looks like some morning convection could leave some boundaries too. The winds are not good though. Weak low level winds (40 kt). They are actually out of the south now....earlier runs did not show this. I actually was just skimming an article on high CAPE, low shear days. If it can get some frontal forcing it will be ok.

The GFS has not been consistent with anything beyond Friday with this, so we will see what shakes out of it. I'm just anxious to see some of the photos from this weekend. Isolated storms in a good geographic area? Say it isn't so! Not in 2008!

**I am far from an expert. I'd like to hear other's opinion on this.