Chase Case #8

Try this one out. Not from the last 3 years. :)

12z on day of chase:

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Soundings
Wilmington
Pittsburg
 
I'm heading to Wheeling, WV for a starting point and will wait for further data.
 
Yeah - we're definitely going to have to wait on some more data to come in, I'm thinking. Neither sounding showing instability, with lows up and down the board from WV to PA into upstate New York. ... this doesn't really look like a tornado day so much to me so far. Will need some more information ... until then I'll sit on the outer banks and do some fishing.
 
Given the current synoptic situation, obs, and soundings - Think I'll sit around the tristate area of TN/KY/VA; Middlesboro, KY and wait for more data.
 
I quickly reeled in my fishing gear and high-tailed it up to good old Xenia, Ohio. September 20, 2000. Had a tough time with the source of lift on this -
 
I'm grabbing some Taco Bell in Lexington KY..

Although I may have to run to the store shortly and buy something for the indigestion that's going to come later on.... :wink:
 
A cold front extends near the IL and IN border and arcs through southeast MO into northern AR, while a warm front intersects the cold front in northeast IL and curves southeast through OH. A sfc trof also extends from the cf/wf intersection and through central IN.

I'd play an area along just east of the sfc trof/south of the warm front... Near Dayton, OH.
 
This is the sort of setup that can tornado in northern Ohio and southeastern Michigan. But it's not as dynamic at the surface as I'd like to see. Anyway I was about to target Ann Arbor when the 00Z was posted. Either we're after the fact, or I'll target Canton, OH, for something very soon, or... bust. Bust is my top candidate.
 
With the new 00Z data out, I'm going to punch north from Middlesboro, KY, and cross over into Portsmouth, OH and wait for things to develop - possible asspirations to continue a northeastward progression.
 
A cold front extends near the IL and IN border and arcs through southeast MO into northern AR, while a warm front intersects the cold front in northeast IL and curves southeast through OH. A sfc trof also extends from the cf/wf intersection and through central IN.

I'd play an area along just east of the sfc trof/south of the warm front... Near Dayton, OH.

I'm still going with my Dayton, OH target... :)
 
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