Chase Case #3

After a tough debate we have decided to head to I90 and hang out near Worthington, MN for the time being and see if the warm front to the south and can lift north. If not we may make a last minute attempt to get into Iowa.
 
Not too confident in my target at this point. I already made the trip though so I will stick with my ALbert Lea target and hope some magic can happen. ALthough part of me wants to head back south again to Around Mason City, IA

Im beginning to think central OK was the place to be...

what a brain buster...
 
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After a tough debate we have decided to head to I90 and hang out near Worthington, MN for the time being and see if the warm front to the south and can lift north. If not we may make a last minute attempt to get into Iowa.

I had been already contemplating that as well, Im heading to the Blue Earth Pizza Hut for a quick pit stop and wait for more data....more than likely heading back towards NC IA.
 
Ah shoot, I missed that many of those first maps were 0z model data and not 12z. That mistake leaves me in no mans land along I-35 in northern Oklahoma. I don't like the way things look, but I'll start heading west towards Ava, OK, even though the cold front is overtaking the dryline up here.
 
I'm moving out from New Ulm now to stay ahead of the cells firing in the area. Likely my intercept will be somewhere east of there as the cells need a while to develop if, as I hope, this is the beginning of the show.
 
I am leaving Altus, and heading for Joplin, too far south for any far noth intercepts, but Altus isnt gonna happen
 
I'm stair stepping my way down to Spencer, IA closer to the lifting WF where the temps are in the low 70s instead of low 60s north. Don't believe the initial convection near Redwood Falls, MN will be the show but I'm keeping my eye on it as I go east then south.
 
Still sitting tight in Fort Worth, if anything I may jog a bit northwest to greet the dryline-cold front intersection near Wichita Falls.

I'm thinking the same thing, only coming from the opposite direction. Not sure what to make of this scenario. Wind profiler shows PBL winds weakening over time, but also backing very slightly close to the surface while still veering decently with height. Wichita Falls it is. I'm either smart or skunked. But I'm sitting in the land of rich moisture and Heap Big CAPE, so my hopes are up. Speaking of which, Andy, would you kindly provide some CAPE/CINH indices on the next run?
 
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I am seeing covective enhancement off to my east (north thru northeast of Ft. Dodge) and it looks like that could become a low topped supercell threat area. I had better fudge my way east-northeast and get into the higher shear and modest instability zone along/north of the boundary over N.Iowa.
 
LOL, Im so undecided that I keep drifting a little further south....now from Blue Earth I've made the short trek down 169 to Algona IA and am staying put for sure now until further data comes along.
 
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