Chase Case #3

[Mike Peregrine]

Sure enough...on May 18, 2005 I chased the crappy KS storm that we were making fun of lol. It looked good for all of about 2 minutes until it got undercut by the CF.

LOLOL ... that is just too awesome. I went back and looked because I figured I was probably on it too, but can't find anything about it - must have sat it out. I have no memory of this day at all for some reason.

 

[Bob Hartig]

...for me the two things to note in this case were certainly that low level instability in Minnesota, but also the nose of the 500mb winds in Iowa... for me, you just aren't going to get much action if your mid level winds are under 30 knots, so that pretty much sealed the deal for me to be in the Upper Midwest, or certainly in Iowa specifically.

The H5 jet was one of the things that nagged at me even as I opted for West Texas. From the initial maps, it looked like I might see 35 kt 500s edge into the area out of New Mexico, but I didn't feel confident about it, and the weak mid-levels overall were a concern. Another concern was the cap. I think I was in the right place to be if things down there had fired, but from the looks of it, I wound up sitting under a hot, sticky blue sky.

This was a good opportunity to learn from my mistakes. I was a hair's breadth from starting in Albert Lea instead of Hollister, OK. I've gotten one or two concepts reinforced. Nice to have a chance to troubleshoot my reasonings without burning all that gas on a bust chase.

 

[Scott Weberpal]

I'm working on chase case #4 and should have it up later this evening.

 

[Dann Cianca]

I'm working on chase case #4 and should have it up later this evening.

Scott, I'm chomping at the bit!!!