Chase Case #3

You forgot me! I'm in Wichita Falls. If it's a hassle to add me, don't worry about it.

I think you are there. Its just that there are multiple people there and you're underneath someone else. Look for your name in the list.

This is where I spent some time on the maps too... around Fort Dodge I went back and moved everyone slightly away from others in Fort Dodge so you could tell there were multiple people there... After I spent so much time doing that for one city, I gave up on the rest.
 
"Case 3"; The results show!

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There are several of you that NAILED Fort Dodge, IA pretty early on, and I tip my hat to you. Very nicely done. The tornadoes in MN certainly were to some degree correlating with the high low level instability (3km MLCAPE). I think for me the two things to note in this case were certainly that low level instability in Minnesota, but also the nose of the 500mb winds in Iowa... for me, you just aren't going to get much action if your mid level winds are under 30 knots, so that pretty much sealed the deal for me to be in the Upper Midwest, or certainly in Iowa specifically.

Good job everyone. Who's doing the next one?

EDIT: I just noticed a tornado by Seattle. Nobody wanted to chase Seattle?
 
I see lots of potential for the northern targets, but I'm happy to be a little less crouded in the clear air down here. I'll take my chances today.

Maybe my luck is about to change, Marc...and yours as well ;)

Marc, you were smart to ditch me in Clinton. The only thing worse than busting is busting alone while nearly everyone else scores. I take my earlier statement about being less crowded back. In hindsight I guess I would have wished to be with the crowd on this day. But I knew I was taking a chance.

Congrats on all who bagged today. Thanks, Andrew, for the Case. It was fun.
 
This was a Wednesday, I wouldn't have chased this day no matter the setup. If I had, Panora, IA wasn't that far out of position.

BTW, this day was the 25th anniversary of the Mount Saint Helens directed blast eruption:rolleyes:
 
Thanks for doing this, Andrew. It was nice to practice the skills I've learned in the classroom and in actual situations.
 
Gee, I guess the SPC neglected to log the big wedge 30 miles west of Wichita Falls.

What's that? You say there wasn't a wedge?

Oh. I thought there was a wedge. Nutz. Looks like I busted.

Still a blast, though, and a great way to while away the winter. Thanks, Andy--great job!
 
This was the NWS DMX write up on the tornadoes that day:

Tornado moved from Calhoun County into Webster County. It moved through mostly open country and have a very intermittent track from Slifer on northeast. Damage occurred to several grain bins, then tornado lifted for some time with another tornado forming over Hamilton County. The frontal boundary from Nebraska moved into western Iowa during the evening hours. The airmass was unstable, but not overly so. CAPE values were around 1500 J/kg with Lifted Indices around -2. There was about 45 kts of effective shear in place. A few thunderstorms developed ahead of the boundary with one of the cells becoming severe. The first tornado occurred in Calhoun County at 2358 UTC where the tornado dropped into a farm field between York ave and Zearing Ave south of 320th St. about 2 miles north of Farnhamville. The tornado was an F1 tornado as it crossed the intersection of Zearing and 320th St. IT destroyed dome outbuildings north of the intersection and continued moving northeast toward Slifer in Webster County. The tornado remained on the ground crossing the Calhoun/Webster County line crossing County Road D46 between Zebulon Ave and County Road P29. The tornado destroyed three grain bins and just missed a farm. Debris was tossed over several hundred yards before the tornado weakened and lifted for the first time prior to reaching Slifer. The F1 tornado was on the ground for about 4 miles during this time with F1 strength and a width of 50 to 100 yards. The tornado was reported on the ground very intermittently from this point on with numerous reports southwest of Callender, northeast through the Woodman Hol State preserve and into the Brushy Creek State Reserve. At this point, the tornado lifted. The parent storm continued into Hamilton County. A brief touchdown was reported in Hamilton County north of Blairsburg. No damage was reported and the tornado roped out quickly.
 
UH, I don't know. I would give myself a 50/50 on this one. I was about 90-120 miles away. Depending what time they came through, I might or might not have made it. 90 maybe, 120 miles away, maybe not.
 
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Sounds like I would have been just a bit late to the show. O well.
 
Hmm, it would've been a stretch for me to get to those tornadoes up somewhere west of Wilmar, MN, but I probably could've made it. Thanks for doin this Andrew!
 
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