After reviewing the 23Z-00Z info, I'm still going to make my stand in Panora.
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Chase Case #3
- Thread starter Andrew Revering
- Start date
Darin Brunin
EF5
The sad part is...I don't remember any day in the last 8 years where there's been an isolated cell in ne KS that's produced any kind of worthwhile tornado, with a couple of exceptions, and this sure isn't May 4th or May 8th in 2003.
Hopefully we don't have to make the 8 hour drive home after watching a storm put down a tornado less than an hour from home lol. I think the cold front will light up soon though from IA to TX in a big linear mess.
Hopefully we don't have to make the 8 hour drive home after watching a storm put down a tornado less than an hour from home lol. I think the cold front will light up soon though from IA to TX in a big linear mess.
Mike Peregrine
EF5
hey ... good point ... I think you're right ... that CF stuff isn't going to amount to anything worthwhile. Actually, I don't remember any day like that either - I'm staying put and hoping for the best. Will get some good lightning shots if anything.
Doug Mitchell
EF2
I'm tailing the stuff that just went up in NW IA back towards Ft. Dodge.
Marc Austin
EF4
Heading north on I35 toward Ft Dodge, IA. Hoping these cells are more impressive than they look on the national mosaic. I do think cells will continue to fire further south moving toward evening with a weakening cap over more southern chase terrain. I'm anxious to see what the storm reports reveal in IA for this case.
Paul, sorry I had to leave you behind but your recent run of bad luck has left me no choice but to venture out on my own. I had to sneak out while you were sleeping at the Vagabond Motel and have been driving all night frantically to get from Clinton, OK to Omaha, NE. It's been a long damn night! I hope this pays off. Good luck to you! I'm hoping to bag my first tornado in Iowa!
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Paul, sorry I had to leave you behind but your recent run of bad luck has left me no choice but to venture out on my own. I had to sneak out while you were sleeping at the Vagabond Motel and have been driving all night frantically to get from Clinton, OK to Omaha, NE. It's been a long damn night! I hope this pays off. Good luck to you! I'm hoping to bag my first tornado in Iowa!
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David Wolfson
EF5
On reaching Stewartsville at 22Z and checking the good radar and sat loops (not the tiny little ones that Revering guy doles out every three hours 
) the dance of forces seemed to be heading more toward me, so I held in this vicinity. I'm with the higher DBZ isolated echo on the 23:30 radar that shows a divergent 'v' indication on the 23Z IR sat. That's my show and I'm sticking to it. Hopefully it won't drag me into MSP or across the Mississippi.
) the dance of forces seemed to be heading more toward me, so I held in this vicinity. I'm with the higher DBZ isolated echo on the 23:30 radar that shows a divergent 'v' indication on the 23Z IR sat. That's my show and I'm sticking to it. Hopefully it won't drag me into MSP or across the Mississippi.
Corey Sloan
EF1
Holding tight in Wichita Falls, TX.
Kevin Crawmer
EF2
Well no flights to MN from Wichita. I guess I will stay put and keep my eyes to the north and see if things can develop a little further SW. Looks like some after dark fireworks.
Bob Hartig
EF5
Also staying put in Wichita Falls. I like what's happening with the dryline/triple-point to my west, and these backing surface winds have got me feeling a lot happier.
Robert Edmonds
EF5
Heading from the eastern KS NE border to the cells south... fortunately I said I would hang south of the border.
Paul Austin
21z Update
Racing west along US 62 now toward Childress, TX, watching for any sign of towers going up along the way to adjust positioning along the dry line. I'd like to see stronger upper level winds in this area, but I'm happy surface winds have picked up a bit and with a potential for at least a little backing with the development of a partial warm front/stationary front type boundary with the approaching low. I'm also happy to be north along the dry line as I'm not a big fan of the steeper dewpoint depressions further south. I'm quite pleased with the clearing skies, hopefully not too little - too late. Now if we can get enough lift along the dryline, perhaps a little magic can happen within an area from Childress to Vernon to Wichita Falls to Seymour to Paducah area before dark...or a blue sky bust.
I see lots of potential for the northern targets, but I'm happy to be a little less crouded in the clear air down here. I'll take my chances today.
Maybe my luck is about to change, Marc...and yours as well
Racing west along US 62 now toward Childress, TX, watching for any sign of towers going up along the way to adjust positioning along the dry line. I'd like to see stronger upper level winds in this area, but I'm happy surface winds have picked up a bit and with a potential for at least a little backing with the development of a partial warm front/stationary front type boundary with the approaching low. I'm also happy to be north along the dry line as I'm not a big fan of the steeper dewpoint depressions further south. I'm quite pleased with the clearing skies, hopefully not too little - too late. Now if we can get enough lift along the dryline, perhaps a little magic can happen within an area from Childress to Vernon to Wichita Falls to Seymour to Paducah area before dark...or a blue sky bust.
I see lots of potential for the northern targets, but I'm happy to be a little less crouded in the clear air down here. I'll take my chances today.
Maybe my luck is about to change, Marc...and yours as well
Andrew Revering
EF3
Too bad we don't have forecast 0-3km cape maps, that's where I'd be
Actually you do... It's the 30th map on the first post of this thread... titled: 00z 3km MLCAPE
Scott Weberpal
EF5
Yup, caught it after someone informed me of it about 20 posts back
I still don't know where to go, lol!
Andrew Revering
EF3
Yup, caught it after someone informed me of it about 20 posts back
Yah, sorry about that. I should have read all the posts before replying.
Paul Austin
0z Update
Looking more and more like a classic bust for me with only a couple hours of daylight left and no convection in sight. I made it to Childress with time to turn more toward Paducah, but my faith in this dry line setup is almost gone. Perhaps a cell will fire and at least give me a nice after dark light show, but even that would be disappointing. I will wait around and maybe drift back toward the east if I see something going up.
Looking more and more like a classic bust for me with only a couple hours of daylight left and no convection in sight. I made it to Childress with time to turn more toward Paducah, but my faith in this dry line setup is almost gone. Perhaps a cell will fire and at least give me a nice after dark light show, but even that would be disappointing. I will wait around and maybe drift back toward the east if I see something going up.
