Chase Case #3

Im also heading west on 18. Since the "show" has begun I probably wont be targeting any city, just going after what I think looks best. At this point Ill be happy to get some hail and hear the sound of thunder. Central OK looks like a crapshoot now so I feel better in my target choice. The cold front on this system really is a beast. ANy chance down south seems to be in NC texas and I wouldnt have made it that far, so given my circumstances I made the better decision I think
 
I'm beginning to think this day will have quasi-severe low topped storms racing northeast at 50 mph. Good thing I'm only 3.5 hours from home!

I'll probably head south a little into Iowa where the better instability is.
 
After initially getting suckered east by the early stuff, I am passing back through New Ulm on the way west to intercept the broken line that looks like it will be the main show. Would like to be on the strong cell near Granite Falls (It's not THAT day, is it?), but I won't be able to intercept it as it races NE, so I will hope for something farther down the line. Proceeding west to around Lamberton or Sanborn.
 
I am going to drift out to the northeast of Fort Dodge...looks like a line of back building low topped supercells to my northwest that I need to get ahead of asap.
 
Well, my wife and I decided to go visit her parents in Burkburnett, Texas. We are waiting for the developing low to track in our direction, and sitting with our feet in their pool, constantly refreshing satellite.
 
Looks like my target busted...so I'll be heading south now towards Lawton, OK, with possible adjustments west from there. I'm not a fan of running scared to the action area once my forecast fails, but I think I've got enough time for a leisurely drive south to adjust and possibly catch a late-day show east of that surface LOW track in NW Texas. I should be in Lawton by 0Z.
 
I'm racing back towards Minnesota. Target is Redwood Falls, hoping for some backbuilding or an OFB to spark another storm farther south towards the IA/MN border since i'm an hour or two from my target. Depending on storm motion, I may head east towards my original target of Mankato, MN, unless of course we get another storm to fire on my way north.
 
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I'm really enjoying watching people drive to; from and through cities that will get rocked by tornadoes shortly....

...and don't always assume you're in the right state!

am I giving you hints or leading you astray... we'll find out tomorrow.
 
I am going to move just a tad east to Fergas Falls, MN and will wait a few scans to see if something will develop further north along the boundary or if I should blast SE on I-94.
 
00z Observation Data

00z Surface
0zSFC_big.gif


23z Infrared Satellite
23zIR.jpg


23z Radar
23zRAD.gif


23z Visible Satellite
23zVIS.jpg
 
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