Chase Case #3

[scott r currens]

Got held up at work this morning, but finally broke free and am steaming up to Denison, Iowa. The moisture and wind ahead of the CF in NE Kansas caught my eye, but it looks like there's enough CAPE in Iowa for something to happen. Cold core is another option. I probably should have gone with Currens today.

As usual I got up and left way to early. I've been sitting in Summit, SD since 12z. Next time I'll try to get to the target at a reasonable hour. LOL

The good news is that I expect a WW and CI in this area within the next 2-hours. I may have to drift east a little as the front is almost on top of me.

 

[Josh Richardson]

If this is the day I think it is I'm hanging out in Stratford, IA and Woodward, IA. In fact I was hanging out in Stratford, IA that day.

Its not that day, if I remember correctly(I was in Texas at the time though) temps were a bit cooler than what the surface obs are showing in this case. Also, 18z radar images of this case and that day dont match up either.

Oh by the way...I am still sitting in Algona...perfect spot to head south down 169 or west on 18 relatively quickly.

 

[Beau.Gjerdingen]

Lisbon, ND.... Sitting heating up in the dry slot all day, 55 degree dews sneaking up under the cool upper low. Currently sitting in a field enjoying the quiet and smell of manure.

 

[Brian Stertz]

Its going early...need to get in position in the Fort Dodge area. Low topped supercell magic is about to begin. Iowa is pretty notorious for these "show pony" type supercells.

 

[Corey Sloan]

Target: Wichita Falls, TX to Lawton, OK area.

Cloud cover will be the fly in the ointment but I like the dry line play. Other severe parameters look better in this area as well. I do believe there will be svr to the north along the cold front, but I am going to stay south and see what happens. I am smelling a big BUST potential on my target location but it will not be the first time. LOL

EDIT: Cloud cover may not be as big a problem as I anticipated near my target location.

 

[Andrew Revering]

21z Observations

21z Infrared Sat

21z Profiler

21z Radar

21z Surface

21z Visible Satellite

 

[Mike Peregrine]

I should have known he'd pick a Minnesota day ...

 

[Jeff Duda]

Looks like the cold front is beginning to light up in SW MN. I'm in far SW IA hoping the line continues to ignite farther south. I'm currently looking for Highway 71 near Atlantic and will be heading north and east from there.

 

[Danny Neal]

Ah decisions decisions. I am right on the border of IA and MN. Do I bank on the line lighting up in NW IA or do I make an all or nothing push for SW MN......

The line looks to be from about Willmar down to Worthington MN. Since I am in Mason City I will drift west on US 18. By the time I get to the Spencer area I think I will be able to see something very interesting I hope.

 

[Josh Richardson]

Same thing for me, Im in position though to catch any of this in reasonable time really, drifting a tad north up to Hwy 9 and slowly heading to the west a little now. More towards a Spirit Lake area, I will have no problem jumping north if I need to from there.

 

[Michael O'Keeffe]

In Worthington, MN just watching the cells to my immediate west waiting for a cell to jump on, hopefully a tail-end charlie.

 

[Chris Allington]

I'm right on the front and heading east to stay ahead of the tail end of the developing line. Leaving Ida Grove and heading east twoards the Ft. Dodge/ Webster City area. I can reasonably intercept anything in the immediate area now.

 

[David Wolfson]

Ok, pretty much according to plan. My action area is on the IA border southwest of Albert Lea at 21Z. On the road from Dakota west on I-90 for Stewartville, MN, (south of Rochester) about 22Z. Re-evaluate there with likelihood of heading south to Spring Valley and Chester, IA, at 23Z.

 

[Damon Scott Hynes]

If I were out, I'd be willing to go to Panora, IA and stay on the front until I-35. A lot depends on what day of the week this was, since I'd be heading away from home and no telling if I have to work tomorrow.

 

[Chad Cowan]

I'm stimulating the local economy of Ortonville, MN, due west of MSP right on the SD border waiting for initiation. Looking at IR, there was a strong mid-level dry punch that mixed out the low clouds behind the overnight convection. I would expect to top the 65 degrees that is progged. This area has a great thermodynamic profile that isn't shown well with the forecast CAPE because of the low surface moisture. I'm banking on an intense string-of-pearls developing shortly before 0z as lift is enhanced in this left-front region of the 500mb jet streak.

They kicked me out of the Ortonville, MN gift shop for loitering and then a cop ran me out of town for 'stealin wifi' so I sat on a desolate farm road for a few hours, saw the tower go up just to my south and blasted ahead of it. I'm now 30 miles away from my target hoping that the storm I'm on remains the dominant one.