Leah Robertson
EF1
*Looks at the 21Z data.*
After glancing over the surface observations, I'm going to go ahead and head south from Amarillo to Happy, TX on I-27 which is less than an hour's drive from my current location. The 27F dewpoint in Clovis is indicating to me that the dryline is bulging south of Amarillo and progressing eastward quite nicely (18Z in Clovis had 61F dewpoint.) I am also pleased with the pressure falls over the region (AMA 18Z: 990mb, AMA 21Z: 982mb; LBB 18Z: 987mb, LBB 21Z: 981mb) which should further aid thunderstorm development. Even though storms have initiated south of Amarillo, I do believe I will be able to intercept these as the storm motions should be to the NE around 30kts (if I did my crash course calculation correctly).
After glancing over the surface observations, I'm going to go ahead and head south from Amarillo to Happy, TX on I-27 which is less than an hour's drive from my current location. The 27F dewpoint in Clovis is indicating to me that the dryline is bulging south of Amarillo and progressing eastward quite nicely (18Z in Clovis had 61F dewpoint.) I am also pleased with the pressure falls over the region (AMA 18Z: 990mb, AMA 21Z: 982mb; LBB 18Z: 987mb, LBB 21Z: 981mb) which should further aid thunderstorm development. Even though storms have initiated south of Amarillo, I do believe I will be able to intercept these as the storm motions should be to the NE around 30kts (if I did my crash course calculation correctly).