David Wolfson
EF5
Frances is a gazilllion kilograms moving at 10 mph. You need some substantial force to turn it, and nothing I see in the current conditions is applying anything like that force. You don't see it in the upper cloud motion, and all the models and people who really know their stuff don't either, up to and including the 5 pm discussion. My guess is it's going a little north of the current consensus track, which is alas about the same track from three days ago. Hope Frances picks up a cold or something, or NASA may be shopping for a new launch complex.
Poor San Salvador. It's been in the eyewall for three or four hours....![Frown :( :(](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
Poor San Salvador. It's been in the eyewall for three or four hours....