Andrew Pritchard
EF5
Might be a decent shot at some severe storms today across the central high plains. Shear is the best north towards South Dakota, but it's bone dry up there.
Mark and I will be targetting somewhere between Goodland, KS and Burlington, CO. Speed shear is not as strong here but might be doable. Directional shear is pretty good, however. Helicity values reach 200-250 by evening. Moisture is still marginal but the RUC shows a tongue of mid 50s dew points reaching the area by late afternoon which leads to cape values possibly reaching 1500 or so, and LI's in the -4 to -7 range. A dryline forms in eastern Colorado in the afternoon, and covergence may be just enough to fire a couple storms. With decent moisture and doable shear we might be able to squeeze an elevated supercell or two out of the deal. Here's to hoping for landspouts?
Mark and I will be targetting somewhere between Goodland, KS and Burlington, CO. Speed shear is not as strong here but might be doable. Directional shear is pretty good, however. Helicity values reach 200-250 by evening. Moisture is still marginal but the RUC shows a tongue of mid 50s dew points reaching the area by late afternoon which leads to cape values possibly reaching 1500 or so, and LI's in the -4 to -7 range. A dryline forms in eastern Colorado in the afternoon, and covergence may be just enough to fire a couple storms. With decent moisture and doable shear we might be able to squeeze an elevated supercell or two out of the deal. Here's to hoping for landspouts?