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3-28-07 NOW: SD/NE/KS/OK/TX

If the latest NWS warning report for Briscoe Co. is accurate, this circulation/TOR should be doing damage about now in Silverton. Hope I'm wrong.

Looks like David Drummond is on that cell, been watching him on the spotter network and he's been with that cell since it developed.
 
Looks like David Drummond is on that cell, been watching him on the spotter network and he's been with that cell since it developed.

I unfor could not go out with him today but he has seen at least two tornadoes on that storm and he is reporting that Silverton was spared.

-gb
 
Cell S of Colby looks very good on radar. Also showing signs of rotation at the mid levels. If in fact this thing right turns in the next 20 min Colby will be in the cross hairs of this monster.

Edit: Storm now starting to hook and mesocyclone is visable on radar.


The LCL's are still pretty high this far west, but that hasn't stopped W. KS from producing high-based tubes in the past. It's coming into an area of richer MLCAPE, as well. Helicities are still lower than you would like.....that, too, is still in an area further NE of Colby. If this and a couple other cells can stay isolated long enough, it can happen.

McGowan.....I better fire up Darin Brunin's Live Cam!

http://tornadolive.com/live/webcam.jpg
 
Watching storms in Kansas rapidly become severe, will be taking off very soon and going south on highway 25 to intercept storms that will be entering Hitchcock County Nebraska in an hour or so.:D

Craig - That's actually a good play as the storm that is due east of Goodland right now is intensifying, and it's moving exactly where you're heading. There's a nice bullseye of 3000 J/kg of CAPE right where you're headed!
 
Latest scans are showing a potential split of that Colby storm. This could be what we're looking for.....any NNE motion to it will likely produce. I know there's a few chasers on this one with some great views about now. Should be an interesting 30-40 minutes with this storm.
 
I unfor could not go out with him today but he has seen at least two tornadoes on that storm and he is reporting that Silverton was spared.

-gb

Good to hear that Silverton was spared.

My chase partners, Tyler and Chris, are down there chasing today - unfortunately I couldn't go myself... they are almost in position now and should probably be seeing the tornado
 
I was feeding radar info to Sam Dienst. He got the end of the large tornado that passed near Silverton on film. He thought it was bigger as he was coming over the hills. Wasn't sure but mighta caught it lifting and then setting down again.

He was still deciding whether or not to stay with that cell or go to the one that just crossed into Briscoe Co. which LBB says is growing into a large tornado. I recommended the southernmost cell.

AJL
 
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The bases of those storms in the northern terget area should be coming down over the next 1/2 hour, as LCL's are dropping to 1000-750 m., and the area is also increasing helicities, with 300-400 0-3km SRH from around the North Plate area (200-250 around that Colby storm......a good thing). A great nose of 1500 MLCAPE right along this corridor, as well.

EDIT: The southern Briscoe Co. meso/TOR has to be the most jaw-dropping views of the day, if these radar returns are any indication. Perfect, backlit conditions. Ugh.....
 
Briscoe County TX Tornadoic Storm

Storm in Briscoe County TX strong rotation it will likely produce additional tornado's as it moves toward Donely & Armstrong counties TX.

JP.
 
Just got off the phone with Charles Edwards of Cloud 9 Tours who is with Rocky R. and a couple others and have already seen a couple of nice tornadoes near Silverton, TX. They are somewhere between Silverton and Clarendon north of the main storm. He was describing a nice updraft and bowl-shaped lowering at 7:35PM EDT when he yelled "another tornado!" and had to go.

Bill Hark
 
Two Tornadoic storms in Briscoe County NOW!!

Based on AMA, LBB, FDR all show two tornadoic storms in Briscoe county. First storm approaching the SW Donnelly, SE Armstrong county line. The second storm is headed toward the town of Brice in NW Hall county. Storm two has 3"+ hail with that storm.

JP.
 
An intensifying cell is moving NNE along what would look like the dryline bulge right at the KS/NE/CO border, near Benkelman, NE. This could be the first cell to really tap into those better Northern target parameters and possibly produce. Worth keeping an eye on over the next 1/2 hour.

The Colby cell looked as if it weakened, and now the entire line is re-intensifying. Looks like the Nebraska storms will be the ones that have the best set-up along that bulging dryline. Now if they can stay discrete.....
 
The cell west of Benkelman, NE (east of Wray, CO), is showing some promise. It doesn't have any nearby competition, it is beginning to show a hint of rotation. Not sure about the dynamics of the environment it's moving into though -- it seems nothing else wants to live as you it gets further north across the NE border. Seeing as my virtual target was Ogallala, and I've been virtually sitting there virtually frustrated by the lack of NE excitement, this makes me happy.

*edit* lol, GMTA, J.B.! ;)
 
The supercell west of Borger is starting wrap up nicely, and rotation is increasing, this is likely the next tornado warning. It's moving north at 55mph, very quick mover as opposed to those further south.
 
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