10/18/07 NOW: WI/MI/IA/MO/IL/IN/OH/KY/TN/TN/MS/FL

[beaudodson]

Visible satellite indicates a growing CU field west of St Louis, MO then southeast to Springfield, MO. Init has begun across Southern MO with PAH radar showing precip now. PAH believes the storms might struggle to get going at the beginning.

West TN looks pretty amazing with the SPC Meso Page showing high parameters. CAPE over 2500 now in some areas of that state. Strong wind fields.

 

[Jeff Piotrowski]

Tornado warned storm SW of Decatur Al

Live video from WAFF-TV http://www.waff.com/

 

[David Draun]

GRLevel3 showing small storms in WI now. I can see several potential shear couplets already early in their life cycles. Especially near Oshkosh, Green Lake, and Juneau. Those are too far away to catch. I'm still waiting on something to fire in this area, I'll probably go east if I can make it.

 

[Chris Hayes]

I dont remember much about it, but this setup kind of reminds me of the November 10, 2002 tornado outbreak, only this one occuring a bit further west. Maybe more closely resembling the October 24, 2001 tornado outbreak and derecho event over Indiana and Illionois.

 

[Jesse Risley]

I dont remember much about it, but this setup kind of reminds me of the November 10, 2002 tornado outbreak, only this one occuring a bit further west. Maybe more closely resembling the October 24, 2001 tornado outbreak and derecho event over Indiana and Illionois.

I would agree with the similarities between 2001 and now. If I remember correctly, the 2001 outbreak was a high risk event though. We had some discrete cells initiate in Central IL near Bloomington and move into the Champaign area, and everything lined out shortly thereafter. I think this event promises to bring some severe wx further north into WI.

I'm expecting stuff to initiate into central IL anytime now, as the front is moving into a more favorable environment east of the I-55 corridor.

 

[Justin Bailey]

WOW! southeast missouri is really begining to explode on vis. sat.

 

[J West]

GRLevel3 showing small storms in WI now. I can see several potential shear couplets already early in their life cycles. Especially near Oshkosh, Green Lake, and Juneau. Those are too far away to catch. I'm still waiting on something to fire in this area, I'll probably go east if I can make it.

A few discreet cells are getting ramped up, mainly the one over NE Dodge county which is dropping moderate sized hail.

More storms are trying to fire up along some type of [lake?] boundary...the growing towers are rooting into the boundary as their forward speed is much slower than most of the cu field around them.

I'm watching this occur from my deck as I type...these guys are too fast to chase today.

 

[Dustin Wilcox]

I wish I was in the W KY and W TN and even Extreme southern IL area right now, not sure of the chase terrain in that area but IMO that area will be one of the many hot spots today. Per RUC mesoanalysis nice Theta-E poking right into that area SB Cape's >2000j/kg working North from TN. Extremely strong upperlevel support with H5 winds nearing 90-95kts are working E into the area along with strong midlevel cooling making its way across MO currently. This area is also experiencing the > LL flow 850 winds up to 45kts. I like the Paducah KY to Mt Vernon IL area eventually working into the Evansville area.


EDIT: I SURE HOPE SOMEONE WAS CAMPING OUT IN PADUCAH!!

 

[Justin E. Reed]

Several offices have taken special 1800Z balloons. The one that stands out is KBNA, again. Incredible sounding, very strong likelyhood of tornadoes in Middle Tennessee. I'm expecting Mid TN to light up around rush hour, and til around 1100pm. People in Mid TN, C-NC AL, and SC KY should be on the highest alert, this has April 7th, 2006 and more written all over it

 

[George Tincher]

There's a rapidly strengthening storm moving into the Owensboro, KY area right now. It went from a rather unimpressive tiny blip to a fairly large, well developed storm that's already showing supercell characteristics and some low level rotation within a matter of minutes. This one may be trouble soon, as it moves into IN. Numerous other cells appear to be developing SW of this one as well.

 

[Justin Bailey]

thats the cell i mentioned twice already. it started just south of mayfield, KY and began to look more promising when it got near madisonville, knowing the environment out ahead of it, and it has really taken off in the last 30 minutes. so too has the cell that just passed directly over paducah.

EDIT: tor warning now out for this cell.

EDIT 2: and also, now a tor warning for the cell just east of paducah...wow did it erupt on that last frame!

 

[Dustin Wilcox]

As I mentioned above that area from Paducah working NE towards Evansville is ripe for tornadoes, I hope someone was in the area and is going to be able to keep up with it, for those to the East I would really consider heading to the Henderson area use hwy 41 North and South to find an intercepting location for this storm!!



EDIT:: Appears new storms that will likely become supercells are forming to the SW of the current storm just NE of Paducah, if your not up for keeping up with that one use hwy 41 to watch it go bye then drop south and catch each storm in the SW oriented line as they cross the HWY. Then you can retreat West and catch the next round of Sups that Paducah to Evansville area is in for a very long evening.

 

[Marc Remillard]

This is the very promising zone for now. There is a CU line near Benton, IL and I think there could be some new development in that zone.

 

[Brandon Sullivan]

Sitting in Douglas county, svr warned storms coming dead at me.. sun is still hot and bright.. if these things get going before the sun goes down, they will go a long ways.. plenty of kinematics and thermodynamics to keep em up

 

[Justin Bailey]

2 well defined hook's now present on the cell east of owensboro, ky. we could possibly see multiple tornado's at the same time from this cell. Meade county needs to take cover quick!