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10/18/07 NOW: WI/MI/IA/MO/IL/IN/OH/KY/TN/TN/MS/FL

Illinois

The storms near Farmington, MO are now TOR Warned. Not good chasing terrain there.. I'm in Carbondale, IL and plan go stay around here or just north. The Terrain is much better for chasing from Carbondale north.
 
A long lived storm, started near Meridian, MS is approaching Tuscaloosa, AL and recently had a funnel cloud, just north of Union in Greene County, AL. City of Tuscaloosa is threatened in next 20-30 minutes, lightning count has dramatically increased.
 
Fabian Guerra is currently near and moving into Champaign Illinois and is reporting a rapidly developing storm with a "nice" base to his southwest; a number of storms have rapidly developed in the last 30 to 45 minutes in Illinois and are comming towards Vandalia and Decatur and Champaign over the next hour, some of the storms are said to be moving 65mph!:eek:
 
I'm still liking that storm that formed over Paducah and is moving NE appears it might be staying far enough south that one wont have to worry about crossing that river, hopefully some chasers are setup on hwy 41 and will be able to trek it as it moves into or very near Owensboro. For anyone chasing HWY 56 will get you up close and personal, Hwy 138 to hwy 81 will give you a clear distant view.
 
Webster, Mclean and Daviess counties in KY has a nice supercell moving through with occasional hooking on BR1. There are also 2 areas of moderate to strong rotation evident on radar with in the same storm.
 
WI is out now, just got word from MKX that the TOR box is being tanked early, presumably since the atmosphere is stabilized and the best forcing is moving east.
 
Good lord... there are isolated tornadic supercells exploding all over the eastern Midwest! The storm approaching Owensboro, KY looks particularly vicious, it's got a very well defined hook and classic 'flying eagle' radar profile. I would be extremely surprised if there wasn't a tornado already on the ground with this cell. Looks like Owensboro might take a direct hit in the next 15 to 30 minutes... could be very bad. Other tornadic supes are taking aim on Vandalia, IL
This is going to be a EXTREMELY long afternoon and evening for folks in the Midwest, without a doubt. And unfortunately, given the volatile atmospheric conditions and insane soundings, a couple strong tornadoes and maybe even a violent tornado or two are entirely possible over the next six to twelve hours.:eek:
 
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The strongest storm right now is approaching Owensboro. Well-defined wall cloud on it, and I'm not surprised considering it has one nasty-azz hook echo with great velocity. City of Ownesboro is in great danger. Tuscaloosa is also in a bad situation with a storm rapidly getting its act back together approaching the city during rush-hour.
 
I have a very bad feeling a tornado is going to be buzz sawing through Owensboro in the next ten minutes... the hook echo is as classic as they come, and the velocity couplet is absolutely insane!
Also a probable tornado is passing through the suburbs of Louisville, KY attm.
 
Tornado on the ground in NE Louisville, numerous power flashes seen by WLKY Helicopter. It is rain-wrapped and not easily defined, but it is on the ground. Tornado Emergency! It is currently crossing over the Waterson Expy at I-71, TORNADO TOUCHDOWN IN CRESCENT HILL COMMUNITY, confirmed by Louisville 911 Dispatch

WLKY Webcast
www.wlky.com
 
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Man, one very nice supercell with significant near-surface mesocyclone approaching and very near Lansing MI (RDale country, IIRC). Latest BR 1-2 imagery indicates an odd hook echo, with high reflectivity (55+ dBz) within the hook echo well separated from the main core of the storm by 30-35 dBz. It looks like a damage balls signature, but I haven't seen anything out of the NWS for that one yet. Velocity imagery is quite impressive with that stor, with a relatively persistent TVS (now with maxdv of ~130kts).
 
Western KY has some massive supercells with several well defined hook echoes and strong rotation. Lyon/Caldwell counties and Webster Counties look particluarly dangerous.
 
Storm south of Evansville and SW of Owensboro, KY, I think is one of the best storms of the night. TVS has been continuously strong and slowly strengthening on GR2Analyst over the last few scans. It is near Sebree, KY at this time. Very nice looking in 3D as well!
 
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