1/3/09 FCST: E TX

[Matt Gingery]

Anyone headed to E. Central Texas this coming Saturday. Latest models are showing an isolated shot at severe weather. I know this time of year is difficult to chase do to the lack of daylight. (Earl Barker) is showing the situation around 13-15z on Saturday favorable from Texarkana to South of Lufkin. 0-1, and 0-3km EHI, and CIN look favorable, MLCAPE AROUND 1000JKG, and a somewhat weak cap as surface low develops across south Texas and drags warm gulf air north. If we get this surface winds then LL winds should be backing around the Lufkin area as temps rise well into the 70's with dewpoints well into the 60's. This is my first thread on this site, and I just want to gather a sense of what everyone thinks about this first shot of the New Year! Happy New Year Everyone!

Regards,

Matt
M.S.U.

 

[David Reimer]

Depending on how the situation resolves in the next few days I may head out to chase Saturday. Not a overly good setup by any means however the NAM is showing some good instability (for the winter) and the CIN weakening in the 21Z to 0Z time frame. I will take what I can get plus this would be a good time to test out the new equipment I got for Christmas.

David Reimer