MClarkson
EF5
When the WRF structure replaced the eta, I wondered if this would improve that models ability in dealing with tropical cyclones. Over the previous 2 years, I was beginning to think it had. Albeit still only going out only 84 hours, it at least was going in the same direction as the traditional hurricane models from what I remember.
And now, it is constistantly placing FAY over the the bahamas as the extreme east outlier, despite overwealming evidence that this is not going to happen.
Assuming the global model consensus does verify, I am ready to throw the NAM back in the tropical trash bin, alongside the CLIPER and LBAR. (I will still use it to compare large scale upper level patterns that are generally inependant of the storm itself)
And now, it is constistantly placing FAY over the the bahamas as the extreme east outlier, despite overwealming evidence that this is not going to happen.
Assuming the global model consensus does verify, I am ready to throw the NAM back in the tropical trash bin, alongside the CLIPER and LBAR. (I will still use it to compare large scale upper level patterns that are generally inependant of the storm itself)
