NHC wind speed forecast graphic

[Dan Robinson]

Does anyone know what the status of the NHC maximum 1-minute wind speed forecast graphic that used to be displayed in the graphical products for each storm? This was the black-background line graph that showed the forecast wind speed of the storm several days out (I attached an old example). It was a useful graphic that I see is no longer part of the forecast products. Just wondered if this is a permanent change.

 

[B Ozanne]

I'm missing the graphic as well, but if you followed the storms last year it had some problems. Mainly, it was never right.

It seems like that graphic just became a liability for the NHC and too many people followed it is fact and not an experimental product.

 

[Dan Robinson]

True - it wasn't the most accurate of the products - but it did do a good job showing the trend and degree of expected strengthening/weakening, even if its exact wind speed predictions weren't verifying. The probability tables are still there that one can use to get the same info, but it is a little harder to visualize the numbers.

Particularly if a storm is expected to go CAT 4 or higher - the numeric probabilty tables only have a single column for CAT 4-5.