Robert Dewey
EF5
Well, well... Just when you thought it was over, it comes back to bite you. I was really happy with our string of 70F temps (even hit 81F a few days ago)... This all came crashing down yesterday, when conditions went from a southerly breeze with 72F, to a northeasterly wind and temps dipping into the mid 40's by mid afternoon :shock:
Certainly is a good thing that I got out an enjoyed it, because this next system looks like it will be cold, and quite possibly snowy. GFS has been real consistant in showing a rapidly deepening low near Cleveland, with 24hr 850mb pressure falls of 90m, and a 36hr pressure fall of 120m. 850mb temps also tank down to near -10C, with SFC temps remaining in the low 30's. The low also appears to retrograde as it deepens, with some pretty strong lift. QPF is high, but snow ratios will be very low, and most of it will likely melt on contact with the ground. This is the time of year to watch for things like heavy snow bursts with lightning...
It certainly would be weird to get snow when the leaves are pretty much out on the trees... And I fear that even a little bit of heavy wet snow could bring down branches and crush small bushes - even if we only get 2-4 inches (HPC has a low risk for 12 or more inches). It has been almost 80 years since Detroit has seen +6 inches of snow beyond April 17th. Good thing is, it won't last long, and it will do wonders to help our drought situation (local rivers are well below normal).
Certainly is a good thing that I got out an enjoyed it, because this next system looks like it will be cold, and quite possibly snowy. GFS has been real consistant in showing a rapidly deepening low near Cleveland, with 24hr 850mb pressure falls of 90m, and a 36hr pressure fall of 120m. 850mb temps also tank down to near -10C, with SFC temps remaining in the low 30's. The low also appears to retrograde as it deepens, with some pretty strong lift. QPF is high, but snow ratios will be very low, and most of it will likely melt on contact with the ground. This is the time of year to watch for things like heavy snow bursts with lightning...
It certainly would be weird to get snow when the leaves are pretty much out on the trees... And I fear that even a little bit of heavy wet snow could bring down branches and crush small bushes - even if we only get 2-4 inches (HPC has a low risk for 12 or more inches). It has been almost 80 years since Detroit has seen +6 inches of snow beyond April 17th. Good thing is, it won't last long, and it will do wonders to help our drought situation (local rivers are well below normal).
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