Is the new season gonna starting well?

[Andrea Griffa]

As to me I think that the new chasing season is gonna start so much well: GFS model forecast is for a zonal flow quite low and some good low pressure system in succession.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rnamavn481.png

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rnamavn901.png

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rnamavn1081.png

Probably the future scenario will not so much different from this, and maybe we could have the first moderate or high risk of the year.

What do you think about?

 

[Jeff Miller]

hmm

Every year is different, thats for sure...I tend to think it will start slow and work up to a crescendo this year.... but mother nature is known for her surprises! :lol:

 

[Andrea Griffa]

Re: hmm

Every year is different, thats for sure...I tend to think it will start slow and work up to a crescendo this year.... but mother nature is known for her surprises! :lol:

I hope so as well, Jeffrey: I hope in a lot of outbreaks in the first days of may :lol:

 

[Jeff Miller]

yes

A very good thing to hope for. Unfortunately each severe season it seems can only be analyzed during, or after the fact...very little clues before the fact. Maybe someday our long fange forecasting abilities will be high enough to get some headway on this.

 

[Geoff Boyle]

Judging by this, the northwest isn't going to get a great season this year:

http://www.kirotv.com/weather/4271838/detail.html

 

[Skip Talbot]

Well, as much as I was hoping for another northern/midwest year, 2005 has been on the cooler side. I bet we'll get a good dose of severe weather but its going to return to its more regular southern plains roaming grounds.

 

[Andrea Griffa]

Well, as much as I was hoping for another northern/midwest year, 2005 has been on the cooler side. I bet we'll get a good dose of severe weather but its going to return to its more regular southern plains roaming grounds.

I think so Skip...Polar Vortex has been so much active this year, in America but also in Europe with an elevate number of cold air descents: this must make us thinking something good.