Chasing locations that are "due" for some increased activity?

[Peter Nicholos]

Wikipedia had the Utica tornado listed as an F2 tornado. I do not know how strong it actually was.

http://www.stormeyes.org/pietrycha/040420/uticasurvey.gif

 

[Mike Hollingshead]

Interesting thread. I would add South-Central Ks included Harper County and other close counties. I would have expected something more after 2004 chasing year. But I'm pretty convinced that soon or later it will come back to the scene.

To me it seems that might be the least due area on the planet. Greensburg 07 close enough to there. And those others near Nickerson that April day and that other day somewhere else right there...the e-w highway full of tornadoes. Then there is June 7 2002 I think it was. 2004 activity alone should be good for a good while lol. Compared to other areas, sc KS is anything but due imo. Of course maybe they *should* expect more than other areas to begin with since they are so much in the heart of the action.

 

[Scott Weberpal]

I agree with Mike, that entire cluster of counties in south-central Kansas (Harper, Barber, Comanche, Kiowa, Pratt, Edwards, Stafford, etc.) has been raked over the coals recently. 5/4/07 and 5/5/07 are two of the bigger days that come to mind...

http://www.spc.ncep.noaa.gov/climo/reports/070504_rpts.html
http://www.spc.ncep.noaa.gov/climo/reports/070505_rpts.html

Maybe in a short-term sense it is due for its once every 3 or 4 year outbreak.

 

[Michael Riedl]

To me it seems that might be the least due area on the planet. Greensburg 07 close enough to there. And those others near Nickerson that April day and that other day somewhere else right there...the e-w highway full of tornadoes. Then there is June 7 2002 I think it was. 2004 activity alone should be good for a good while lol. Compared to other areas, sc KS is anything but due imo. Of course maybe they *should* expect more than other areas to begin with since they are so much in the heart of the action.

Agreed, that area of Kansas seems to get hit more than any other area. It also seems those counties are the first counties in Kansas to have a tornado in it each year. By the way the county I live in, Butler County Kansas, isn't due for any action as it had the most tornadoes of any county in Kansas last year.

 

[Andrea Griffa]

To me it seems that might be the least due area on the planet. Greensburg 07 close enough to there. And those others near Nickerson that April day and that other day somewhere else right there...the e-w highway full of tornadoes. Then there is June 7 2002 I think it was. 2004 activity alone should be good for a good while lol. Compared to other areas, sc KS is anything but due imo. Of course maybe they *should* expect more than other areas to begin with since they are so much in the heart of the action.

Actually, I have this opinion because in my thinking I presupposed that south central Ks (Harper, Sumner,Kingman, Sedwick counties) big tornadoes setup descends from a different kind of synoptic setup in comparison with SW Ks. I just wanted to say that it is some time I don't see a big triple point in the zones I mentioned before. I mean I see Greenburg more like a SW Ks tornado than a South central one.

 

[Josh VandenTop]

Say... locations that've been "slow" the past half decade.

Big one that sticks out to me is the NW Iowa/E SD/SW Minnesota area. Good terrain but for the Missouri River... but nothing significant, it seems, for a while now.

On the other side of things... Missouri gets way more than its fair share of action, anymore, it seems.

Where would you enjoy seeing some increased activity?

I'm definately hoping for that area because that's the only place I can chase during the week, and it has been pretty slow up here the past few years.