Chase Case #13

[Paul Austin]

Wow, some decent convection back in wc KS along the DL, and very high Tds over central IA. Also 89/61 in sw SD seems out of place. I'm sticking to my guns and waiting up here near Grand Forks, ND until I see something that makes me want to move.

 

[Charles Kuster]

I am going to move east to New London, MN and wait to see what happens. I should be able to get there in about 35 minutes. This will probably be the only update that I will be able to see, so New London will be my final location. Good luck to everyone!

 

[Michael O'Keeffe]

We are also leaving Montevideo, MN and are going to head NE to St. Cloud, MN.

 

[David Wolfson]

Don't see anything in the sky or outside that's changed, and I'm not stopping to get radar. So per "plan" at 23Z I should be around Emerado, ND, on the venerable US2 heading for Devil's Lake.

 

[Dann Cianca]

2230Z update

Wayfaring Map

 

[Brian Stertz]

Looks like may be a weak secondary low/wave developing to my northwest across WC Minnesota so better keep an eye on increasing convergence in that area...and some vigorous development there on the boundary. Will hold tight until I can see some clear cut initiation. Things look up for at least a few atomic bomb supercells to develop in next few hrs. CAPES have to be over 5000 j/kg !!

 

[Scott Weberpal]

Sitting tight just south of the Twin Cities on I-35...still think something is going to develop along the boundary which is now probably draped across the metro.

 

[Leah Robertson]

After looking at the surface map, I'm going to move into a region where the winds are backed a bit more and take the 45 min trip from Litchfield, MN to St. Cloud, MN. The road options there are pretty good and I'm really hoping that nothing develops to the SE closer to Minneapolis...

 

[Dick McGowan]

Looks like may be a weak secondary low/wave developing to my northwest across WC Minnesota so better keep an eye on increasing convergence in that area...and some vigorous development there on the boundary. Will hold tight until I can see some clear cut initiation. Things look up for at least a few atomic bomb supercells to develop in next few hrs. CAPES have to be over 5000 j/kg !!

I saw that too, but it's not showing much of a pressure drop attm. I'll stay put in Fergus Falls, MN but I'm ready to move E or NE if needed. I'm about to go eat me a steak dinner (in real life lol), so hopefully I'll be back in time for the next update.

 

[Matt Gingery]

Wow! Looking into W. Dakotas at some nice looking cells. If I had a choice to change my mind, I believe I would have went to W. S. Dakota for the day. I will hang here in St. Cloud and do a rain dance. No boundary action yet, if it is gonna happen, it needs to happen quick. I am confused as to why the cells in W Dakotas don't line up with the trough axis. Does the data jive with the surface conditions. I know our university server has a 1 to 2 hour lapse from the surface features and radar, and the synoptic drawings. Only I don't think that is the case here. I am staying put. Can we get a visible satellite on the next update?

 

[Dann Cianca]

2245Z

Wayfaring Map

 

[Scott Weberpal]

Can't tell of those are enhance Cu just west of the Twin Cities or some other anomaly. Any chance you have a visible satellite image?

 

[Brian Stertz]

2245z and no development...hmmmm. Subsidence behind the main wave moving into the W. Great Lakes and Ontario??!! Guess we'll see. Tornado time is approaching and things need to get after it even if things stay light longer this far north. Any thoughts Mr. Revering ??

 

[Matt Gingery]

Well. . .I still like W. S Dakota. I am now heading northwest on I-94 at 100mph. I don't recommend this, but it has to be done to make it to Fargo in good time. If anything pops along the way, I will intercept. This may be a night chase. Although nights in Minnesota last until 10 pm in the summer, woo hoo! Im wanting to get to Grand Forks after looking at the last satellite loop. I hope I can make it in 3 hours. If not, I will crap out. I am not hanging around for this warm front to happen. If it happens on the way, then I will bust a u-turn. I think Grand Forks and points to the west is the hot spot. Don't know if I can make it. . .

 

[Dann Cianca]

Can't tell of those are enhance Cu just west of the Twin Cities or some other anomaly. Any chance you have a visible satellite image?

Sorry, Scott. Unfortunately, I don't have them.

Well. . .I still like W. S Dakota. I am now heading northwest on I-94 at 100mph. I don't recommend this, but it has to be done to make it to Fargo in good time. If anything pops along the way, I will intercept. This may be a night chase. Although nights in Minnesota last until 10 pm in the summer, woo hoo! Im wanting to get to Grand Forks after looking at the last satellite loop. I hope I can make it in 3 hours. If not, I will crap out. I am not hanging around for this warm front to happen. If it happens on the way, then I will bust a u-turn. I think Grand Forks and points to the west is the hot spot. Don't know if I can make it. . .

Matt, do you want me to update your position on Wayfaring?