CHASE CASE 1

[Bob Hartig]

Waiting for data in North Platte. My impulse is to bolt for South Dakota, but until I can look at surface obs, upper air maps, soundings, and satellite, I don't really know what I'm bolting to and what I'm bolting from.

 

[Ryan Wichman]

Is that the hotel where the PPV movie in room 112 is what's going on in room 120?

I sure hope so. I tried to find the creepist looking place in stay in all of Lexington. Wasn't that hard to find.

 

[Verne Carlson]

Moving from Valentine, NE up to I-90 where I can shoot west quickly if I need to.

 

[Randall Cooper]

YAWN! Good Morning all! After only getting 2 hours from getting in around 4 AM to North Platte, Im still targeting the Triple Point so I will head north a little bit to Valentine. Time now is 6:30, so that will put me into Valentine around 9:00 AM. Good Luck everyone! See some of you out there!

 

[Scott Weberpal]

I'm staying put in KADOKA, SD. "No place I'd rather be"

 

[Steve Polley]

Think I will move slightly north to Thedford, NE and await for more data to come in. Really dislike the sand hills though.

 

[Scott Hammel]

"No place I'd rather be"

Hahaha! Nice reference!
I've awoken early in Valentine and have decided to stay put despite my instinct to surge E into SD. Will await the next model runs and get on the road.

 

[Corey Sloan]

Will join his chase partner Steve Polley in Thedford, NE and await more data. Road options are good here. I am concerned about any on-going convection in South Dakota and the mdt risk area....I am liking western NE at this point if the convection cannot clear South Dakota in time to allow the atmosphere to sufficiently destabilize.

 

[Skip Talbot]

Well, assuming I left on 80 from Chicago like I said I was going to in my last post, although I didn't update my status, I probably would have stopped near Des Moines for the night as that's usually about where I catch my nap when heading to the plains the day before an event.

Based on your upper air charts there, I'd like to be in southwest SD where the trough is going to eject later in the day. Shear should be best here, and I think this is the more sure play despite the possibility of more isolated storms further south along the dryline. I'm gonna have to really haul ass down 80, up 380 to 90 west. I'd like to try and make it all the way to Rapid City. That's a 9 hour drive or so from Des Moines with stops for gas, so if this is an afternoon show I'm probably going to miss it. I've also never chased SD, but I imagine the terrain near the Badlands and Black Hills is difficult to work around.

 

[Bob Hartig]

All this waiting for the maps is getting on my nerves. With South Dakota in the crosshairs, I'm going to mosey up to Thedford. That should buy me an hour while still keeping the Nebraska option open.

 

[Jason Bolt]

Got in this late and have only read the first post. Put me in Woodward, OK.

 

[Matt Gingery]

**12Z UPDATE**​

UPPER AIR CHARTS​

300MB UA: http://i47.tinypic.com/nfccz.gif

500MB UA: http://i47.tinypic.com/2rw43gh.gif

700MB UA: http://i46.tinypic.com/2uswf7q.gif

850MB UA: http://i46.tinypic.com/6qebyq.gif

925 MB UA: http://i45.tinypic.com/1zcpzqr.gif

WIND PROFILER: http://i45.tinypic.com/1jn58g.gif

SOUNDING DATA​

AMARILLO: http://i48.tinypic.com/6iearr.gif

BISMARK: http://i50.tinypic.com/11uaz5v.gif

DAVENPORT: http://i50.tinypic.com/2gtzu6p.gif

DODGE CITY: http://i46.tinypic.com/2jc9he1.gif

GREEN BAY: http://i49.tinypic.com/hx244w.gif

MINNEAPOLIS: http://i46.tinypic.com/ip9nwp.gif

OKLAHOMA CITY: http://i46.tinypic.com/sv6p0g.gif

OMAHA: http://i47.tinypic.com/3fqso.gif

RAPID CITY: http://i50.tinypic.com/35lyqsg.gif

SAN ANGELO: http://i48.tinypic.com/m8o2gk.gif

SCOTTSBLUFF: http://i48.tinypic.com/xp995g.gif

VISIBLE SATELLITE 12Z​

CONUS: http://i50.tinypic.com/2nqy546.jpg

MIDWEST: http://i49.tinypic.com/2m61vsx.jpg

UPPER MIDWEST: http://i49.tinypic.com/2mg1jrm.jpg

SOUTHERN PLAINS: http://i47.tinypic.com/288qikh.jpg

MISS. VALLEY: http://i49.tinypic.com/2iu6ij4.jpg

12Z SURFACE DATA​

CONUS SYNOPTIC: http://i47.tinypic.com/281wopz.gif

MIDWEST: http://i49.tinypic.com/nvcepv.gif

GREAT LAKES/UP MIDWEST: http://i47.tinypic.com/3499gm0.jpg

NORTHERN PLAINS: http://i47.tinypic.com/20rlrbb.gif

SOUTHERN PLAINS: http://i47.tinypic.com/9psv1s.gif

RADAR IMAGERY 12Z​

MIDWEST: http://i45.tinypic.com/fxrn9.gif

UPPER MIDWEST: http://i49.tinypic.com/15nuo46.gif

NAM ANALYSIS DATA 12Z​

http://i48.tinypic.com/2h8788n.gif

UPDATED SPC HAIL GRAPHIC

http://i45.tinypic.com/32zjtd5.gif

WAYFARING MAP: http://www.wayfaring.com/maps/show/60451

*THERE WILL BE A SUPPLEMENTAL UPDATE AT 15Z FOR MD'S AND INFO

 

[Matt Gingery]

SOME OF YOU MAY FEEL THAT YOU HAVE JUMPED IN LATE. NO WORRIES, I JUST POSTED THE 0Z DATA LAST EVENING, SO JUMP IN AS IF YOU FOLLOWED THAT DATA AND GO WITH THE 12Z. I HAVE BEEN RESERVED IN DUMPING DATA FOR THAT VERY REASON. THE ORIGINAL DATA WAS 1-2 DAYS OUT TO GIVE EVERYONE A CHANCE TO JUMP IN. GOOD LUCK!


EDIT: I POSTED THE 12Z SOUNDINGS WHICH DON'T DO A WHOLE HECK OF ALOT OF GOOD, SO THERE WILL BE AN 18Z SOUNDING DATA RELEASE LATER. TODAY I PLAN ON POSTING A 15Z UPDATE LATER THIS EVENING, AND THE 18Z SOUNDINGS TONIGHT WITH ANY MD'S, WATCHES, OR ANY SPC INFO.

 

[Skip Talbot]

Alright, based on the surface charts, the triple point is already in south central SD. I'm going to try and play that, so Rapid City is way too far it appears. I'll probably still head up 90 into SD and get past that morning convection and then hold short somewhere near Mitchell assuming the main show hasn't started by the time I get there.

 

[Verne Carlson]

I am now hanging out in Presho, SD along I-90 watching the vis sat for signs of initiation to my west.