The dynamics are to the north (as usual), but sufficient thermodynamics are also there. I'd be targeting somewhere in SC SD. Upslope flow from the easterly winds as the surface low arrives could help initiate storms. However, the dryline play looks decent, too, but only in spots. The 00Z KAMA sounding looked good, but other soundings in the area did not. Flow is not as good there (winds are kind of weak), and the cap is of concern, but there will likely be greater instability in the NW TX area. I prefer shear, though, so I'd go north.