• After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.

    I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.

    For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.

    From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.

    Sincerely, Jeff D.

Any Speculation For The Upcoming Winter Ahead?

So far, this winter is off to a snowy start for Leadville. We have had two snowfalls that were over 6" and we even had the highest single day precip total (1.06") in at least 8 years. So far, for October we have 15.7 inches of snow. Last year we had 9.6 inches of snow in October and the year before that we had a trace of snow in October. For us, I would guess that we will have a near average snowfall for this winter (~120").
 
Despite my continued belief that we'll see a abnormally cold and snowy winter...especially in the 2nd half of winter....the latest 06z GFS sure shows a well above normal temperature pattern for much of the country. This warmth (thickness 562) will be common from the Ohio Valley westward through the Rockies right on through early to mid November.

What we lacked in the Spring with severe weather we may very well see over the next month or so. Severe weather could be more common through November/December this year than we think?!?! Just my $0.02.
 
Based on the AMO / Multi-decadal Oscillation, it appears that the Detroit area has had more record breaking snowfalls (record breaking monthly totals) during positive phases than negative phases:


+ 1880-00 IIIII

- 1900-25 IIII

+ 1925-70 IIIIII

- 1970-95 IIIII

+ 1995-05 II

If it's worth anything, most grandparents were "walking through waist deep snow" back in the 1925 period outlined above. As I said earlier though, I really have noticed quite an increase in snowstorms since the mid 1990's, which is when we started to enter a "warm phase"...

Also, looking at the GFS long range forecast, the overall pattern is rather disturbed with big temperature swings and rather potent storm systems - I wouldn't be surprised to see our area receive a quick snowfall sometime prior to Thanksgiving, which would be kind of rare.

But, given all of that... I would say there is a slightly higher chance of seeing more snow than average, so I'll give it a 55/45 chance of wetter/drier, at least for my location.
 
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