Marc Austin
EF4
Well I thought I would go ahead an start this thread up. If models verify (very unlikely), this could be a big severe weather event. Ample instability along with 0-1km and 0-3km SRH AOA 200m2/s2 and decent shear for the southeast should provide a nice environment for supercells. the SREF on SPC shows a bull's eye sig-tor of 6 at 21Z over SE AL. A large area encompassing much of AL and WRN GA is highlighted in a supercell composite of 12 at the same time. Now I know neither of these parameters is a tell-all for severe weather forecasting, but I thought it was pretty impressive and might generate some thoughts. Anyone have anything to add to this forecast discussion? I do plan on chasing this setup if it ends up turning out anywhere near this good. I have yet to see a tornado in the southeast and I've lived here all my life!
Significant Tornado April 4 2100Z
Supercell Composite
Significant Tornado April 4 2100Z
![sigtor2100Z-1-1.gif](/proxy.php?image=http%3A%2F%2Fi155.photobucket.com%2Falbums%2Fs307%2Fmda02%2FApril%25204%25202009%2Fsigtor2100Z-1-1.gif&hash=907d9deafeadc31f24d0f104104c71a7)
Supercell Composite
![supcomp2100Z-1.gif](/proxy.php?image=http%3A%2F%2Fi155.photobucket.com%2Falbums%2Fs307%2Fmda02%2FApril%25204%25202009%2Fsupcomp2100Z-1.gif&hash=6850468e9b1289ae1b4cbe463c0b72b2)
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