Zack Cooper
EF2
Really starting to like Sunday for a potential chase...
Strong trough diving SE doesn't seem to be the most ideal, but a lot looks to be in place for a solid setup including the potential for tornadoes.
Moisture looks to return rapidly into central TX on Sunday with mid 60's dews pretty likely south of Dallas and especially south and west of Waco. Obviously there is some really fat cape, with the NAM12 continuously depicting areas of >5000 J/KG sbcape and >4000 J/KG mlcape. Cin looks to be completely eroded by 21z and storms should fire along the dryline and quickly become supercells.
Low level shear is not super strong, but as the LLJ increases some towards dark to 30-40 kt... wouldn't be surprised to see pretty solid tornado potential setting up somewhere.
Still three days out, so plenty of time for it to change and maybe go to crap, lol.
Strong trough diving SE doesn't seem to be the most ideal, but a lot looks to be in place for a solid setup including the potential for tornadoes.
Moisture looks to return rapidly into central TX on Sunday with mid 60's dews pretty likely south of Dallas and especially south and west of Waco. Obviously there is some really fat cape, with the NAM12 continuously depicting areas of >5000 J/KG sbcape and >4000 J/KG mlcape. Cin looks to be completely eroded by 21z and storms should fire along the dryline and quickly become supercells.
Low level shear is not super strong, but as the LLJ increases some towards dark to 30-40 kt... wouldn't be surprised to see pretty solid tornado potential setting up somewhere.
Still three days out, so plenty of time for it to change and maybe go to crap, lol.