John Gnuechtel
EF3
Now there's a tornado warning based on a storm that shows "strong rotation" in Palm Beach County. I guess that explains that. Tomorrow should be a very interesting day.
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- Weather and Chasing
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10/18/05 NOW: Hurricane Wilma
- Thread starter Sam Sagnella
- Start date
Jason Toft
I thought I saw a hook echo on the radar about 10:10EST near Orlando. I didn't notice anything looking at the velocity images though, just some green in the red and what not...wow...I might have to go...um..."out" tomorrow...I just wish I could.
Jason
Kevin Bowman
EF4
MSNBC just had live video of a huge waterspout
Scott Olson
EF5
That is certainly a tornadic waterspout. Looks like Wilma maybe strengthning a bit notice a small area of quick clearing. DVORAK intensity estimates ADJ T are now starting to show a strengthning trend as well.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/odt/WILMAP.GIF
Andrew Khan
EF5
Yeah, I saw that waterspout on TV, as well......looked pretty violent, and large.
nickgrillo
EF5
Current analysis showing a focused area of surface moisture convergance across western FL. Strong insolation during the afternoon has allowed for the boundary layer to become very unstable -- with sbCAPE a widespread 2000-3000 j/kg. In addition, adequate vertical shear (40-50knts) will easily maintain storm-scale rotation, while increasing low-level shear as Wilma pushes closer will enhance the risk for tornadoes. A defined mini-supercell, now TOR-warned, to the southwest of Bowling Green is showing a nice low-level mesocyclone -- and I wouldn't be surprised to see a tornado or two from the convection now ongoing in the Tampa area.
Robert Dewey
EF5
If there is a such thing as a wedge waterspout, I think that would be it. That thing was absolutely huge...Marcus Opitz
EF2
- Joined
- Mar 24, 2005
- Messages
- 197
I am living in Orlando now, I should have my night cut out for me! I think i may get a few gusts to hurricane force, not sure though. It is breezy here. those radar sigs. look like the nasty hook echos from back home....
Sam Sagnella
EF5
The storm entering SWrn Brevard county very likely has a tornado on the ground. It has shown very persistant rotation for the better part of an hour and a half with several ground truth reports coming in, but thankfully this storm should cross US 192 to the west of the populated areas right along the shore. Everyone in the southern 2/3 of the FL peninsula really needs to have all of their attention focused on the tornado threat as it is a very real one.Angie Norris
EF5
I just saw the vid of that wedge waterspout. I didn't realize they could get that big. Could it be that it was an actual tornado, just over water?
I know that sounds rather like a stupid question, but, even though waterspouts are "defined" as tornadoes over water, they are not usually associated with convective weather. Thoughts?...opinions?...
Angiejaybarnsmith
This was posted as a Waterspout from today in Florida on a photography forum that I frequent. I take no credit for the picture and heres a link to the thread on the other forum http://photography-on-the.net/forum/showth...ad.php?t=107613.Pat Lawrence
It was a tornado over water. Just like the ones that happen over land with a hurricane (although I think I read they most likely happen more often once a hurricane begins to make/makes contact with land due to increased friction, which creates differences in wind speed/direction with height; and greater instability because lands heats up fairly quickly, compared to water, with cloud gaps).
As far as a "fair-weather" waterspout is concerned, even these are associated with convective currents. Any type of cumulus is created by convection, whether it be a cumulonimbus, or a cumulus congestus (a shower, or even the old "Few Cu (humilis)"). These tend to be weak, but they are still associated with convection....just not the good old plains type supercell
Anyway, you asked for my opinion....How correct it is will always be subject to interpretation!
PatPat Lawrence
RECENT DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND FROM THE NOAA DOPPLER RADAR IN KEY WEST FLORIDA INDICATE WILMA IS VERY NEAR CATEGORY THREE...OR MAJOR... HURRICANE STRENGTH.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
John Gnuechtel
EF3
Very intense looking radar signature on the storm near Cocoa right now:
Bill Hamilton
EF5
Trying to listen to the NOAA weather radio out of Miami, FL at http://www.wa6uvv.net/miamiweather.html and it is temporarily off the air for maintenance. They sure picked a heck of a time to do it.
