Ben Prusia
EF4
I have been monitoring for several GFS runs now of a potent storm system that will make its way through the Plains States during the day on Sunday.
You can see a dryline push its way eastward (by the 0Z GFS run) and compared with the day on Saturday, we will have more 60 degree or higher dewpoints to work with along a wide swath from the Gulf to the Great Lakes. The 6Z GFS from NCEP is showing a wide band of precipitation moving its way eastward through NE/KS/OK/TX. Also from the same GFS run, there are two upper level storm systems at 0Z Monday, one in western Kansas at 1004mb, and one in southwestern Minnesota at 1003mb. However, the 0Z GFS shows weaker upper level winds of 30-40 knots through much of the Plains States with the best upper level winds located into eastern Iowa and western Illinois.
Many NWS HWO's from KS/MO/OK/NE/IA mention of possible severe for Sunday. Graphic for this forecast can be found on "My Chase Forecasts" link on my signature. I'll update it when I get back from the hospital to check on the baby (still has jaundice).
You can see a dryline push its way eastward (by the 0Z GFS run) and compared with the day on Saturday, we will have more 60 degree or higher dewpoints to work with along a wide swath from the Gulf to the Great Lakes. The 6Z GFS from NCEP is showing a wide band of precipitation moving its way eastward through NE/KS/OK/TX. Also from the same GFS run, there are two upper level storm systems at 0Z Monday, one in western Kansas at 1004mb, and one in southwestern Minnesota at 1003mb. However, the 0Z GFS shows weaker upper level winds of 30-40 knots through much of the Plains States with the best upper level winds located into eastern Iowa and western Illinois.
Many NWS HWO's from KS/MO/OK/NE/IA mention of possible severe for Sunday. Graphic for this forecast can be found on "My Chase Forecasts" link on my signature. I'll update it when I get back from the hospital to check on the baby (still has jaundice).