Philip Flory
EF2
Several impressive isolated supercells are erupting ahead of the dryline in southern KS. One is currently tornado warned (doppler indicated) in eastern Chautauqua County and western Montgomery County , about twenty miles northwest of Coffeyville near Havana. That cell has quite an impressive radar signature with a 65 dbz core and an emerging hook. Another has sprung up northwest of Arkansas City. With that storm a little blob of convection is apparent forming up just southwest of the main cell, which makes me suspicious that it may go tornadic shortly. These two cells need to be monitored carefully, as they are in a favorable environment for tornadic production. They look much better on radar than the two southern OK cells at the time being, so I hope someone is out chasing these two beauties and catching the tornadoes they may be dropping.
EDIT: At 4:16 p.m. local law enforcement reported a tornado on the ground a half mile north of Bolton, near Independence, KS, moving northeast at 40 mph. It's headed right for a little town called Sycamore Could get real ugly real soon down that way. :blink: The hook is tightening up and becoming more defined, which leads me to believe the tornado is strengthening as it roars towards Sycamore. I hope everybody has taken shelter.
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It would appear per GR2 that the couplet moved 1/2 mile west of town if the town placement is correct. Couplet is still strong and is moving just SE of Neodesha ATM.
Storm just NW of Burden in Cowley county is still showing >1" size hail. Other convection is beginning to form SW of this cell... worth watching to see if it lines out over the next 20min or so...
or not... Tornado warning now for Cowley county.