State of the Chase Season 2025

[Todd Lemery]

Don’t feel bad James, the only bad chase days are the days you don’t chase. I’ll complain as much as anyone, but just being out and about is fun and relaxing.
Although I live in a decent area to do last minute plains chasing, I’ve only been out for a couple of short chases. My wife had a back surgery earlier this season and was away for one of our daughter’s graduations and got back yesterday just ahead of the storms rolling into NW Arkansas. My season is starting now and I’ll be out starting this weekend hoping for some of Warren’s “sneak attacks”.
With everybody having a camera in their pocket makes it seem like a lot more people are scoring tornadoes every storm day than there actually is. I enjoy my days and don’t worry so much anymore how anyone else is doing.

 

[JamesCaruso]

yeah, it appears that in the longer range after about the 23rd, the next 10+days, big ridge sets up, closing off and real larger outbreak potential, but honestly, after these last two "outbreaks" I'd prefer consistent DL days all along it, but in the meantime, the next 10+ days turn into as Warren puts it, "sneek attack "days within the 60HR window, but it appears that into the second weak of June and beyond, the 5 wave starts to shift, and brings in some additional potential across the mid and upper plains, and moisture returns look more stable possibly so, perhaps mid-June could be somewhat more active.

That’s great, just after my longest-ever chasing window of May 12 - June 8 ends, and I even had another short window in early May but didn’t use because nothing was happening, and the action finally begins in the second week of June when I definitely cannot be on the Plains.

I spent plenty of years seeing big events happen just before and/or after a two-week chase trip. I thought my approach this year would significantly improve my odds of success. I guess not.

I’ll respectfully Hope that your long-range forecast turns out to be completely wrong!

 

[Jason N]

I cant blame you for wanting that!