In Search of Busts!

Joined
Jul 6, 2011
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99
Location
Nashville, TN | Norman, OK
Greetings!

I'm in the process of conducting some research on data from the Oklahoma Mesonet, and right now I'm looking for busts. I figured I might find a few good days by asking the chasers in here, so if you can think of a day that busted pretty bad, please post it here! Note: they don't *have* to be severe days, but I understand that severe days are more likely to be remembered.

In particular, I am looking for central Oklahoma busts. The boundary the storms were supposed to initiate on needs to be away from the state boundaries, so central is best, but there is some leeway in there. Cap busts are welcome, but if you can think of a day where a cap was not to blame, that would be even better! The outright best would be if anyone can remember a day where storms were expected in Central OK, did not happen, and don't know why. That would be gold.

Looking forward to some responses!

Kelton.
 
There was a fairly significant bust in west-central OK on April 7, 2008. There was a tornadic storm that produced near Electra, TX the same day (we watched it on the radar while getting tans). There were two distinct targets that day, but we chose WC Oklahoma because of the boundary out there VS the dryline further south. Even though we probably could've made it to the N TX storm once it fired, we stood our ground and rode out our target all evening to a fine bust.

Another one that comes to mind, also for WC Oklahoma, is February 17, 2000.
 
Are you looking for clear sky busts or busts as in storms that "should" have been good weren't? Here's one case that had TCU and Cu, but no robust initiation despite what looked like strong surface convergence:
05182011_OUN_parcel_theory_fail.gif


Here's one case that bugs me. There WAS initiation in central Oklahoma, but the storms died quickly. The cap was not to blame...
BUST_060707_00utc_OUN.gif



Here's another one with initiation, but the main storm near Enid was a weak LP that died before sunset:
08202009_00_LMN.gif
 
Thank you both for the replies!

To answer your question, I am looking for days where thunderstorms should have developed but nothing happened, or as you put it, "clear sky busts".
However, the other dates might prove useful as well.

It's fitting you mentioned surface convergence, as that is exactly what this research is about.
Once again, thank you both.

Keep them coming!
 
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