CHASE CASE #3

[Joe Karel]

Looks like I should never have left Sioux Falls, SD! But I should have been on or at least in front of the storm that tracked along the boarder and hopefully followed it back into SD where these current storms are. Looking forward to the results..

 

[Danny Neal]

00-02z UPDATE

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
HARPER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
* UNTIL 800 PM CDT
* AT 704 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
DEVELOPING TORNADO 9 MILES WEST OF ANTHONY...OR 8 MILES SOUTH OF
ATTICA. THIS DANGEROUS STORM IS MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE
NEAR ANTHONY AROUND 715 PM CDT...
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS
* UNTIL 815 PM CDT
* AT 710 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES WEST OF
OKETO...OR ABOUT 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF MARYSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT
20 MPH.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CANADIAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
* UNTIL 815 PM CDT
* AT 742 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS OBSERVED A TORNADO
8 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF CALUMET...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE CALUMET...CONCHO AND EL RENO

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
HARPER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
* UNTIL 845 PM CDT
* AT 753 PM CDT...A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED A TORNADO 5 MILES
NORTHEAST OF ANTHONY...OR 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HARPER. RADAR SHOWED
THIS TORNADIC STORM MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE
NEAR DANVILLE AROUND 810 PM CDT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SUMNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
* UNTIL 900 PM CDT
* AT 759 PM CDT...A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED A TORNADO 10 MILES
NORTHEAST OF ANTHONY...OR 7 MILES WEST OF ARGONIA. RADAR SHOWED
THIS TORNADIC STORM MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE
NEAR ARGONIA AROUND 815 PM CDT...
NEAR MILAN 827 PM CDT...
NEAR CONWAY SPRINGS AROUND 835 PM CDT.
A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND!

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
LINCOLN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
* UNTIL 845 PM CDT
* AT 810 PM CDT...A TORNADO WAS REPORTED BY STORM SPOTTERS NEAR FORT
MCPHERESON...NEARLY STATIONARY.
* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...

BRADY AROUND 835 PM CDT

HE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
* UNTIL 915 PM CDT
* AT 848 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO 3 MILES WEST OF PIEDMONT OR 19 MILES WEST OF EDMOND...MOVING
EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS WILL AFFECT AREAS MAINLY NORTH OF THE KILPATRICK
TURNPIKE. TORNADOES HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS STORM.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE EDMOND AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA CITY
IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO THREAT... THIS STORM LIKELY CONTAINS DAMAGING
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS OR LARGER AND WINDS UP TO 100 MPH.

 

[Jacob Ferden]

Can't be sure, but based on my position, looks like a likely success in this chase case.

 

[Bob Hartig]

Any possibility of a radar update?

On the personal side, how you feeling, Danny? Those meds starting to kick in for you?

 

[Michael O'Keeffe]

Yes have been tracking the storm near the KS/OK border for quite some time and it finally went tornado warned near Attica and has produced a evidently long lived tornado. We are in prefect position for the intercept!

 

[Danny Neal]

Better too Bob. I think I am gonna make it

Results very soon!

 

[Damon Scott Hynes]

I know the day. I don't usually archive radar loops, but this one I did.

 

[Bob Hartig]

Thanks for that, Danny. I couldn't be happier with the storm I'm on. My original plan to head for South Dakota would have been a good option, too, but this storm is a monster.

Glad you're on the mend, mate!

 

[Danny Neal]

THE MAGIC DAY RIGHT HERE!!!!

POST YOUR PICTURES/STORIES! I DIDN'T CHASE THIS DAY BUT GOT THE NEXT DAY IN CENTRAL IL!!!!

 

[Bob Hartig]

Virtual steak dinner for me.

Thanks for putting this scenario together, Danny!

 

[Damon Scott Hynes]

THE MAGIC DAY RIGHT HERE!!!!

POST YOUR PICTURES/STORIES! I DIDN'T CHASE THIS DAY BUT GOT THE NEXT DAY IN CENTRAL IL!!!!

I didn't chase, but I still bagged...! Did you see that smallish blip east of Saint Joe?

http://cycloneranger.wordpress.com/2009/11/11/2004-05-29-osborn-cameron-missouri-tornado/

 

[Dean Baron]

Hmm... I'd like to think I'd have gotten to the action near Yankton, SD, who knows if I would've or not. Since it's a virtual chase I'll assume I saw recognized that the storm up near Yankton was gonna produce and will eat my virtual steak. Either way I was in good position.

Hope you're doing ok Danny!

 

[MatthewCarman]

I actually looked at that date going through the NWS Event Index looking for this event and never realized that was the day. I don't remember much from 2004 besides the May 21 and 22 events which I will never forget. I know the SPC discusion was familiar but that was it. Thanks Danny for putting this together.

 

[Brian Stertz]

In chase case...nailed the biggie tornadoes near Conway Spr. KS ....but did chase this day in RL and got a total of 5 tornadoes up in the Concordia KS area. I remember this day well. Sat in Wellington much of the morning of the chase and looked over data. Convinced myself that the northern KS target was better than the southern KS one. Both targets produced but should have stayed camped out at Wellington and stayed patient that day. Gotta go where the strong shear and instability are matched up the best....

 

[Scott Hammel]

Looks like I did pretty well. I tracked the cell in N KS and it looks to have produced, so in the fantasy storm chasing world, I'm happy with my target, forecast and chase. Thanks for putting together another great scenario, it's helping make these negative degree days in Colorado go by a little quicker!