Chase Case #13

  • Thread starter Thread starter Dann Cianca
  • Start date Start date
I'll move northeast from Pierre and meet up with Brandon Ivey in Aberdeen, SD if he's still around. There seems to be... maybe an outflow boundary near Huron possibly? I'll await the 21z data for now.
 
Looks like I need to be stationed out of St. Cloud MN. Love those backed winds and prospects of a returning warm front w/ vigorous initiation by afternoon. A bit worried about HP scenario but will take my chances in a virtual chase. In RL probably not one to catch my eye so far.
 
Since I am VERY late in getting in the last 6 or so (been out of town for a while) I guess for this one at this time I will hang around home and toy with the convection going up in the south suburbs. Probably missing the show further west.
 
18z

18z:
Looks like I need to move se toward the better moisture nosing n from Fargo, ND to St Cloud, MN. But I see a nice little mini-cell along the boundary about 50 min. drive to my n near Minnewaukan, ND. I'll take a drive up to check it out. If structure warrants staying with this more "cold-core-ish-looking" type situation, I'll stay with it. But more likely, I'll then turn se toward Fargo and perhaps on down toward St. Cloud. Time will work against me in this scenario, as Fargo is about 4 hrs from Minnewaukan, and St. Cloud about 6 hrs. But this is my plan for now.
 
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I'm getting in on this one a bit late. I have not read the other posts yet.

Based on the first soundings, I'm heading towards McCook, NE. Maybe I can wait things out a while at an Alsups or something. :) I'll know more after the next update.
 
My target was originally Jamestown, ND at 12Z, and it shall remain this way. I may choose to go even more north if the WF continues its progression. No soundings or updated H7 maps so unfortunately I do not know the capping situation =/ ...but I do imagine that this is early summer and the thermo cap is going to be in place.
 
Moving over to US 20 and US 71 in IA, just south of Storm Lake, IA...will wait on data and watch radar trends from here....like UL support to the west....cap may be an issue, but believe it will break....maybe that is a wish...holding out hope for IA.....
 
After looking at the 18z update....

Although I can drive fast, I may not be able to catch up with Marc and Paul. They have appartently left me to navigate for myself. Perhaps the reason was that I video tape while driving that lead them to chase on their own. But don't most of us do that? LOL!

I have decided to move north and east toward a more suitable cap. I am headed for Mitchell, SD. Maybe I will catch up to Marc, we'll see.
 
Moving a bit further to the north and east from Souix Falls, SD to near Tracy, MN at the intersection highways 14 & 59. This should give me good road options as storms fire along the warm front.
 
Jumping in on this a little late. Based on the 18z data I would be in Rochester, MN playing any OFB's from the earlier convection or the WF advancing northward. The profiler data shows nice deep layer wind fields in Minnesota but the low-level flow is a little weak. Probably not the greatest potential for tornadoes anywhere on this day, but perhaps a weak spinup or two along the boundary(s).
 
I'm jumping in a little late here... but I'll try Hallock, MN in far NW part of the state. This looks like one of those late season setups that seems to magically produce a cluster of tornadoes in Kittson County.
 
18z:
Looks like I need to move se toward the better moisture nosing n from Fargo, ND to St Cloud, MN. But I see a nice little mini-cell along the boundary about 50 min. drive to my n near Minnewaukan, ND. I'll take a drive up to check it out. If structure warrants staying with this more "cold-core-ish-looking" type situation, I'll stay with it. But more likely, I'll then turn se toward Fargo and perhaps on down toward St. Cloud. Time will work against me in this scenario, as Fargo is about 4 hrs from Minnewaukan, and St. Cloud about 6 hrs. But this is my plan for now.

On second thought, I think I'll hang a little further north. Depending on what happens with my little mini-cell, I'll either stay along this line of convection or head east toward Grand Forks, ND. From here I can drop south, move further north, or move a little east, depending on what I can see the sky doing at the time. Grand Forks is only 2.5 hrs drive from Minnewaukan, so I'm a little less under the gun this way.
 
I'll move northeast from Pierre and meet up with Brandon Ivey in Aberdeen, SD if he's still around. There seems to be... maybe an outflow boundary near Huron possibly? I'll await the 21z data for now.

I just looked at the data on from the road. I am still driving north on I-29 (left Wichita at 5 this morning). I am about an hour south of Watertown. What do you say we meet up there and shoot the ***** while we wait for the 21Z data or a storm to fire (whichever comes first). We will be in good position to play the warm front and have a good east road option to get into MN or travel further north on I-29. I'll speed it up a little and try to make it to Watertown, SD before 2pm. It will take you about the same time to drive from Aberdeen to Watertown so we should get there about the same time.
 
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