Paul Townsend
Staying put in North Platte and waiting for the moisture to come to me.
CZandbergen
EF2
I am with Greg, I want to stay south and east of the surface low. Think I am going to wait for the 18Z data here in Grand Island. Not real enthused about the profiler data, hoping the dynamics move east fast enough to catch the surface low as it translates east into the better Td's...
Michael O'Keeffe
Going to continue on my way north to Murdo, SD. Am liking the triple point staying put in SW South Dakota and the moisture advecting NW into the target. I expect some storms to fire right on the Black Hills where the triple point is and then move east and NE. It appears a warm front/boundary is setting up along I90 as well.
Bob Hartig
EF5
http://www.americantowns.com/ne/taylor-things-to-do
THERE YA GO BOB! THIS SHOULD HELP YOU FIND ALOT OF FUN THINGS TO DO IN TAYLOR. I WAS ACTUALLY AMAZED THAT TAYLOR SHOWED UP IN THE GOOGLE SEARCH ENGINE. . .
Thanks for that, Matt! I never write "LOL," but this definitely gave me a chuckle. I clicked on the link, and it turns out to be a portal to other links that promise all kinds of activity in Taylor, from jazz trios to sushi restaurants to stage plays and whatnot. I'm thinking, "Dang! What kind of a place is this, anyway?" Then I click on a link and it's got nothing to do with Taylor. Click on the sushi link, and no results are found for Taylor. In the end, it's a good way to discover all the things you won't find in Taylor.
So I did my own search and came up with this link. Digging into the site a bit revealed that I can go bobbing down the Calamus River in a round, blue tub if I feel so inclined. Maybe not a bad way to kill a little time waiting for initiation, but with a laptop...eh, probably not.
Brian Hurst
EF1
On my way to White River, SD from Hastings I am little over halfway there.Matt I think I just saw a wedge on the ground!!A sand wedge!!
Brian Stertz
EF5
I have the surface low just my southeast.....not too fond of the veering LL winds but things may back as day goes along. Just need this wave to time out just right. Do not
see any reason to abandon plans quite yet. I will stick it out here on I-80 and be patient. Maybe the 18z data can start to bring on some bullseyes to get me more excited....
see any reason to abandon plans quite yet. I will stick it out here on I-80 and be patient. Maybe the 18z data can start to bring on some bullseyes to get me more excited....
MatthewCarman
This day seems familiar to me based on the SPC weather radar pics posted. I am staying in Reliance and will move if needed but I am second guessing myself. Will be interesting to see how this plays out tommorow.
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Matt Gingery
**18Z UPDATE**
18Z SOUNDINGS
DAVENPORT: http://i48.tinypic.com/53qxhg.gif
OMAHA: http://i46.tinypic.com/jsoo40.gif
RAPID CITY: http://i49.tinypic.com/1z21zl0.gif
NORTH PLATTE: http://i46.tinypic.com/iejgpt.gif
VISIBLE SATELLITE
MIDWEST: http://i48.tinypic.com/6fyx4h.jpg
N PLAINS: http://i47.tinypic.com/augoid.jpg
S PLAINS: http://i45.tinypic.com/2s84jgk.jpg
RADAR COMPOSITE
MIDWEST: http://i48.tinypic.com/2w7g8s1.gif
N PLAINS: http://i49.tinypic.com/64qhx0.gif
S PLAINS: http://i45.tinypic.com/r9ii2p.gif
UPPER MIDWEST: http://i50.tinypic.com/ra21cg.gif
SURFACE PLOTS
MIDWEST: http://i50.tinypic.com/dqobyt.jpg
N PLAINS: http://i47.tinypic.com/119xrmx.gif
S PLAINS: http://i50.tinypic.com/4r6xbm.jpg
UPPER MIDWEST: http://i49.tinypic.com/9zv8k4.gif
WIND PROFILER: http://i50.tinypic.com/dzfjpy.gif
SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE
RADAR IS SHOWING CELL INITIATION ACROSS WYOMING AS OF 18Z
WATCH BOX OVER CURRENT RADAR: http://i45.tinypic.com/27y2vci.jpg
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1245 PM
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MONTANA
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1245 PM UNTIL
800 PM MDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF CODY WYOMING TO 70 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOORCROFT
WYOMING. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE.
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW ...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN WY. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO
MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW DEEPENING OVER SWRN WY WITH ASSOCIATED VORTICITY
MAX MOVING NEWD ACROSS NERN UT. 17Z RUC SOUNDINGS SHOW FAVORABLE
SHEAR PROFILE TO SUPPORT UPDRAFTS ALONG WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES ABOVE
8.5C/KM INDICATING MAIN THREAT ATTM BEING HAIL AND DOWNBURSTS.
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION
http://i47.tinypic.com/4zvrlh.gif
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN/CENTRAL WI
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ...
VALID
SVR THREAT WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF WW THROUGH 21Z.
AIRMASS DOWNSTREAM OF WEAKENING CONVECTIVE LINE OVER WRN WI REMAINS
MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MUCAPE VALUES AROUND 3000 J/KG. WEAKENING
INHIBITION IS EVIDENT BY RECENT TRENDS OF REDEVELOPMENT OF
STRONG/ISOLATED SVR STORMS ALONG GUST FRONT/OUTFLOW OVER CENTRAL WI.
WELL DEFINED CONVERGENCE ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SHOULD CONTINUE
TO SUPPORT MORE SVR TSTM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THIS BOUNDARY FROM SWRN
WI ENEWD INTO CENTRAL WI OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. GREATEST SVR HAIL
POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN OVER SWRN PORTIONS OF WW ...WHERE STEEPER
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND STRONGER MID LVL FLOW/DEEP LAYER SHEAR
EXISTS. ALONG AND AHEAD OF CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW OVER CENTRAL/ERN
WI...FOCUSED LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE/PRESSURE RISES IN THE WAKE OF
CONVECTIVE LINE AND SOMEWHAT WEAKER MID LEVEL WINDS WILL SUPPORT
DAMAGING WINDS AS THE PRIMARY THREAT.
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Matt Gingery
Matt Gingery
I SURE AM GLAD I GOT THE FIRST CHASE CASE GOING. MAYBE I WILL BE LUCKY ENOUGH TO PARTICIPATE IN CASE #2 IF SOMEONE IS SO INCLINED TO VOLUNTEER A DATE. ANY TAKERS??
81/64 T/Td in GRI? That has me worried, but that's where I am. I don't see anything better in SD.
Danny Neal
EF5
I like where I am sitting as of 18Z. Will remain in Presho, SD with an eye to the west. Noticing some cu on satellite.
Scott Weberpal
EF5
I'm glad I'm in SD!! The KLBF (North Platte) sounding has a sub-atomic cap, the Rapid City has essentially already reached convective temp. I would expect storms to develop over the Black Hills no later than 21z with gorgeous LP supercells in SW SD with huge hail and perhaps a beautiful tornado or two...though tornadoes don't look like an overly good bet at this point.
I choose O'Neill, NE.
Charles Kuster
EF4
I am updating my position a little late, but after looking at the 12Z data in North Platte, I will head north to Winner, SD. After arriving there, and looking at the 18Z data, I will stay in Winner. However, I might head westward depending on what I see in the 21Z data.
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