Tim Vasquez
EF5
- Joined
- Dec 4, 2003
- Messages
- 3,411
Jason Politte's recent chase case was great, and certainly with storm season coming up it might be a good time to get up to speed on forecasting techniques.
The following chase case could be anywhere from 1970 to 2005. It is in the late May to mid June time period. This will not be a big bust: at least one supercell will get going. Where will you be? Will you catch the storm?
The Seven-Layer Burrito Chase Case
Upper level charts
200, 250, 300, 500, 700, 850
Surface charts
12Z, 15Z
Surface charts
AMA, FTW, DNR, LBF, MAF, OAX, OUN, TOP
Satellite/radar
I'd like to post these tools, but they're not available to me for this particular day.
Thumbnail preview
![efcab17ae0353eb55a234b27dfbb18d4.jpg efcab17ae0353eb55a234b27dfbb18d4.jpg](https://stormtrack.org/data/attachments/1/1074-47789a6c6a7935950ff3707da71aa73e.jpg)
Indicators such as what upper air station is in operation will not be reliable for helping you pin down the time period... I know these tricks and have taken a few steps to make them unreliable.
Feel free to post your forecast, your tactic for today, or even your own "SPC outlook".
I will give you all the weekend to work on the chase, with possibly an 18Z update by popular request. Enjoy!
Tim
The following chase case could be anywhere from 1970 to 2005. It is in the late May to mid June time period. This will not be a big bust: at least one supercell will get going. Where will you be? Will you catch the storm?
The Seven-Layer Burrito Chase Case
Upper level charts
200, 250, 300, 500, 700, 850
Surface charts
12Z, 15Z
Surface charts
AMA, FTW, DNR, LBF, MAF, OAX, OUN, TOP
Satellite/radar
I'd like to post these tools, but they're not available to me for this particular day.
Thumbnail preview
![efcab17ae0353eb55a234b27dfbb18d4.jpg efcab17ae0353eb55a234b27dfbb18d4.jpg](https://stormtrack.org/data/attachments/1/1074-47789a6c6a7935950ff3707da71aa73e.jpg)
Indicators such as what upper air station is in operation will not be reliable for helping you pin down the time period... I know these tricks and have taken a few steps to make them unreliable.
Feel free to post your forecast, your tactic for today, or even your own "SPC outlook".
I will give you all the weekend to work on the chase, with possibly an 18Z update by popular request. Enjoy!
Tim