Boy does this look familiar!

[Ryan Wichman]

I scratched my head for all of 5 seconds to figure out where I have seen this image before.....

compared to the end of May last year....

I know in reality there are many differences between the two and each year, but just trying to make light of what looks to be a relatively boring few days chase-wise across the central US. Enjoy getting the tans ladies and gentlemen.

 

[Jason Boggs]

Like a lot of folks, I think it's going to be a late season around the southern plains. I'm not going to be negative, and I know for sure that May and June will be active around here in the TX Panhandle.

 

[Scott Weberpal]

I don't mind seeing a ridge like that at this time, let the gulf heat up and prime itself for when the trofs start crashing the plains again.

=and I know for sure that May and June will be active around here in the TX Panhandle.

Please inform me where I can get this secret information!

 

[Chris Hayes]

I don't mind seeing a ridge like that at this time, let the gulf heat up and prime itself for when the trofs start crashing the plains again.



Please inform me where I can get this secret information!

LOL Scott! I'd like to know too. Chasecation is going to be the last week or last two weeks of May and the first week or two of June so hopefully the tornado apocalypse will occur then.

 

[Ed Cphen]

Adding positive re-enforcement...Hoping for and expecting lateMay/early June in TX Panhandle, Let the upslope magic do its thing! Just have to be patient.

 

[Jeff Snyder]

If nothing else, I guess I'd rather see this pattern in April than in the mid-May through mid-June period. Historically (well, since 2000ish), I haven't really had much chasing success in April anyway, so it's not a huge loss to me. Now, for those who may have an early chasecation, I hope things can improve. However, the vast majority of my best chases have occurred after early May...

 

[Jason Boggs]

I don't mind seeing a ridge like that at this time, let the gulf heat up and prime itself for when the trofs start crashing the plains again.



Please inform me where I can get this secret information!

Panhandle Magic!!! That's all I can say!

 

[Bryan Stokes]

In a weird way, this is working out great for me. I have a series of things that will keep me from chasing for the next 5 weeks. I'm getting my Kansas home ready to put on the market. Then I'm going to Moab for an extended landscape photography workshop. And after that, I'm going to spend 10 days shopping for a home in Colorado (I'm super-stoked about this). Then on May 15th, I'm completely free and will be chasing full-time until June 20th.

Needless to say, personally, I'm not bummed if we have a late start!

Bryan

 

[Marcus Diaz]

I'd be happy to see a late season as well, lets the bank account swell up for what many are saying will be an absolute packed late Spring for us in the panhandle.

 

[Andrew de la Garza]

Yikes.
It looks like I won't be needing to retire this avatar anytime soon...

 

[George Grant]

In a weird way, this is working out great for me. I have a series of things that will keep me from chasing for the next 5 weeks. I'm getting my Kansas home ready to put on the market. Then I'm going to Moab for an extended landscape photography workshop. And after that, I'm going to spend 10 days shopping for a home in Colorado (I'm super-stoked about this). Then on May 15th, I'm completely free and will be chasing full-time until June 20th.

Needless to say, personally, I'm not bummed if we have a late start!

Bryan

Sounds quite familiar. I'm remodeling our main bathroom right now. Should keep me busy for a couple of weeks. And either Moab (Canyonlands & Arches) or Yellowstone is on the agenda for us this summer. We went to Bryce a few years back, and the scenery in southern and eastern Utah is spectacular.

So, the storms can wait until I vacation the first and fourth weeks of May.

Geo

 

[Chris Nuttall]

I don't mind seeing a ridge like that at this time, let the gulf heat up and prime itself for when the trofs start crashing the plains again.



Please inform me where I can get this secret information!

It's called "northwest flow in June." Almost guaranteed to bring severe weather of some sort into the Panhandles. It may be 300-mile long MCSs or HP hailers, but it's something, at least.

 

[Jeff Passner]

Man, April is NOT lost.... When you come down to it, there are really only about 5-6 great days all season... That's it. What I see in the long range is no "high" risk days but I do see some chase days --- southeast New Mexico at first and then maybe west Texas. If you're searching for 50 knots at 500 MB with a strong LLJ and PVA, that's not going to happen. If you're looking for a simple storm with 30 knots at 500 MB that might happen. This next week looks pretty bland but it just takes one or two days to make to a good month. That's all we get anyway unless it's 1991 again. And believe me it's NOT 1991.

 

[Joerg Kudella]

As an Overseas Chaser I certainly do hope, that the pattern will change to more favorable conditions because I only have about 3 weeks in the Plains starting from April 25th. So hopefully the last week of April and the first two weeks of May will be like 2003 and tornadosaison will be picking up the pace soon.

 

[Thomas Dolmer]

I second that, Joerg.
I chased during the death ridge in 2006 and last year as well.
This setup is not something I want to see 15 days before leaving for USA...
Lets hope this changes in the following model runs or at least that the pattern will be short-lived.