3/24/07 FCST: KS/OK/TX Pan

[afischer]

So much for our insolation. I'm in Goodland, where the skies filled with overcast 5kft self-destruct stratocumulus over an hour ago. Drove down to Sharon Springs for kicks, and the bases are probably half that. Strong band of dpva/ascent approaching me per water vapor loop, yet nothing is happening. Not shocking considering the apparent lack of low-level instability. Time for a short nap.

 

[Joey Ketcham]

Chris Wilburn and I are sitting near Pizza Hut in Oberlin Kansas just waiting things out, we have a cu-field and some sun shining through

 

[Jon Gacke]

Can we include a little corner of CO in this post? Actually, just a wi-fi stop in Wray then to the KS border. I like the way the lower wind fields are turning cyclonically to the tri-border region as well as lower to mid level jet screaming north. Might be a little landspout action as well? 63 deg temp/48 deg dpt/broken skies w/blue sky poking thru.
Good luck to all chasing today!

 

[Mike Johnston]

Looks like the evolution of the surface lee low will be a key for potential this afternoon into evening. RUC persists in consolidation of a surface low center in extreme E Central CO. However, circulations around a center in SE NE have persisted, and the low center over NW New Mexico earlier this morning now appears very diffused, so now we have a rather positive-tilted trough at the surface w/ winds even veering a bit across the northern tier of western KS counties. Hopefully, the influence of the H5 trough will consolidate and deepen a dominant surface low over the next couple of hours to create some weather.

To pick a virtual target now, I guess I would be setting up in Scott City, KS, at the intersection of U.S. 83 and KS 96. That appears to be just below the apex of theta-e and instability ridge over the next few hours, and SE of the progged surface low - it is probably a bit south and east of initiation, but that would allow the most flexible approach.

If anyone might need some nowcasting support today, just PM me as I'll be around watching.

 

[Doug Mitchell]

Sitting at the Days Inn in Russell, KS. Probably going to get a bite to eat and wait just a little longer before we make a decision to head north.

EDIT: Probably going to stay in Russell and wait and hope the dryline fires to our SW in the clearing area.