Seems like there is not much talk about the prospect of a Friday "event before the event" kind of thing, but from the look of this morning's GFS and EC I think there are at least a couple of intriguing details to get excited about.
- Good, but not intense, midlevel flow should make storms easy to keep up with.
- Deep moisture axis ~50 miles downstream of the GFS' preferred initiation point, roughly from DFW to Bartlesville
- Modest SSEly flow and convergence along a well-defined dryline
- Convective feedback on the 0Z images, along with moderate synoptic-scale ascent indicate a lower likelihood of a rapid squall line transition.
Saturday looks like a great event too, but I am afraid that if I were to go out I would be sorely disappointed by both terrain and storm morphology limitaitons. And either way, Friday is simply an easier chase for me to pull off since it looks like a very limited driving distance will be needed.
- Good, but not intense, midlevel flow should make storms easy to keep up with.
- Deep moisture axis ~50 miles downstream of the GFS' preferred initiation point, roughly from DFW to Bartlesville
- Modest SSEly flow and convergence along a well-defined dryline
- Convective feedback on the 0Z images, along with moderate synoptic-scale ascent indicate a lower likelihood of a rapid squall line transition.
Saturday looks like a great event too, but I am afraid that if I were to go out I would be sorely disappointed by both terrain and storm morphology limitaitons. And either way, Friday is simply an easier chase for me to pull off since it looks like a very limited driving distance will be needed.