• After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.

    I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.

    For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.

    From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.

    Sincerely, Jeff D.

12/28 FCST: LA/MS/AL

Joined
Sep 8, 2005
Messages
27
Location
Oklahoma City, OK
24/00z gfs/nam are in good agreement at 84 hours with a strong upper sys movg quickly ewd through the southwest u.s. By the 28th... the gfs has a strong vort center in louisiana with 50 kts of h5 wind spreading across ms/al. A 1002 mb sfc low is forecast to be in northwest mississippi with a narrow - but suffly unstbl zone of warm sector air spreading to the TN border that would support severe convection. Prob not a huge event....but if it verifies, I would think that we have a chance to add to the 2005 U.S. tornado count.
 
27/00z GFS/NAM seem to be a bit moisture starved in the PBL. Our CAPE numbers do get up there AOA 1000J/kg due to the extreme cold air aloft, but the raw numbers only indicate us getting to near 62 degrees. I question that somewhat with a 998mb SFC low setting up shop in SE MO. However, when the main action fires the best shear/LLJ axis has shifted N and Eward. Looks like any sustained mesocyclone formation will be down near the coast of SE AL/SWRN GA, FL PHDL where the deepest boundary layer moisture will be present. Hailers will be common given -20 H5 temps in WRN AL. 0-1km SRH and 0-3 km deep layer shear could support a limited tornado threat, but with very dry mid levels mixing into a marginally moist environment the LCL's are going to be kicked up a few hundred feet. Maybe even a Kft or so....it is something that needs to be monitored since the latest GFS shows a bit more moisture and quite an upper level system pounding in.
 
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