11/22/04 FCST: OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS

[mikegeukes]

I started a thread for the 22nd of this month, SPC has Oklahoma and parts of Texas in a Slight Risk for Monday.
Source: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html

72 hour forecast prog of 500 mb heights falls: 00Z Run from last night.
http://www.wxcaster.com/CONUS_ETA_500_GPHD...DIFGPH_72HR.gif
http://www.wxcaster.com/CONUS_GFS_500_GPHD...DIFGPH_72HR.gif

Feel free to post your discussions below.

Mike

 

[Carrie Halliday]

Not so sure about Monday, but there are a couple cells here in TX I am watching. The one hitting Victoria is tor warned but the cell north of it is the one I am eyeing for more potential. Thought I saw a hook form at the last frame of the loop, am I seeing things?

 

[Carrie Halliday]

Yep, it just got tor warned too. Lavaca county TX.

 

[mikegeukes]

SPC has much of Texas in a Slight Risk for Monday.
Source: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Feel free to post your comments below:
Mike

 

[Bill Tabor]

If it ends up being near / south of San Antonio it could be tough as many of the roads are under water with lots of roads closed.

 

[mikegeukes]

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF WRN...CNTRL AND
SERN TX...SRN LA...AND A SMALL PORTION OF MS
Source: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Feel free to post your comments below.

Mike

 

[Andrea Griffa]

Now I see the first probable supercell on Huston. rotation is very evident...
11.32 am

 

[Andrea Griffa]

Originally posted by Andrea Griffa
Now I see the first probable supercell on Huston. rotation is very evident...
11.32 am

And here there's the tornado warning:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1118 AM CST MON NOV 22 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CHAMBERS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS
HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS
LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS

* UNTIL 1145 AM CST

* AT 1114 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR BARRETT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MONT BELVIEU...
OLD RIVER-WINFREE...
LIBERTY...
AMES...