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10/17/07 FCST: TX / OK / KS

I think you hit it dead on with the Hobart, Lawton, Chickasha triangle. That has a big tornado bullseye written all over it to me (and points straight NE of there). OKC is going to be under the gun this afternoon. Any storm that fires in the Lawton-Chickasha area with undisturbed inflow is more than likely going to be tornadic. I am in OKC now and getting ready to head South to Chickasha. We have better clearing and moisture than I expected, with td's already in the upper 60's over the target and temps hitting 80 already, I don't see anything standing in the way of a few strong tornadoes today. There is a nice dryline bulge setting up as forecast over SW Oklahoma and good towers already going up along the lead edge of it and that's where I'm heading now. Best of luck to everybody out chasing.
 
storms increasing along dryline

I am sitting in Joplin Missouri right now waiting to see whether or not I want to head further west. During the last radar scan from Tulsa, I noticed some storms starting to fire southwest of here about 60 to 80 miles. I am gonna watch these for a few and then make a decision. Also, I noticed those supercells west of OK City are looking better every minute. If I were in OKC right now, I would stay put as well. The storms look to have signs of trying to rotate sw of OKC. I bet there is a TOR by 4 pm in that area. Also, looking at the storms south and sw of Tulsa as they are increasing in intensity. I will be making a decision on which way to head out in the next hour. Initial target for this round of storms is Miami OK.

Be safe today as things are gonna get exciting!
 
The storm that is currently near Mustang is starting to rotate a little on radar. This will go over or just north of downtown OKC, and then on towards Edmond. A newer cell is developing just east of Bridge Creek, and will move over Newcastle, then to Moore, Tinker AFB, and Midwest City. Now the latter is the southernmost and has unobstructed inflow, we'll see what happens.
 
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