Gabe Garfield
EF5
Originally posted by Mark Farnik
Good guess, Gabe. Only off by two millibars. I don't think your buddy you had the bet with will let you declare victory though.
LOL. I actually lost the bet because the person I was betting with went with 958 mb (my original guess, but I decided to go lower).
Emily looks very solid tonight, although I am concerned that the outflow to the west is being restricted by upper-level westerlies. In any event, this may not matter since Emily is taking a course that has a distinctive northerly component at this time (further away from shear). I think that further strengthening will be somewhat tempered by the less-than-ideal outflow in the western semi-circle. However, if this should improve, Emily could turn out to be quite a doozy.
Gabe