04/17/05 FCST: TX/OK Panhandles, North/West TX

Mar 2, 2004
Northern Colorado
Some slight potential opening up in the Panhandles and North Texas for Sunday! Some High Plains/Caprock action potentially!

Models showing a shortwave kicking through the area on Sunday. Moisture still looks to be meager as TDs are forecasted to be in the 50s during the day. A SFC low is forecasted to develop east of Amarillo during the day which could increase low level shear in the vicinity of this developing SFC feature. The ETA as 0z Monday has most of the CAPE in NM, however, with LIs of -2 to -4 over the area Sunday afternoon.

Not as promising as I'd like to see, but as AMA's AFD this afternoon states, it's the first real chance for severe weather this season in the Panhandles... and since it's on a Sunday, I could easily make a day of it!

Waiting for further analysis when I have some more time to muddle over things. Would like to see SPC at least go SLIGHT over the area tomorrow. We'll see how the models play things out.