What's happening this weekend?

[Michael O'Keeffe]

I have bee checking out the GFS and it is indicating what looks like a severe weather event over Oklahoma. But everybody else is saying that it won't be even close to there. I don't know what to believe or if I'm just seeing it wrong.

Here are the dewpoints for Friday
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model/eta42hr_sfc_dewp.gif

Here is the CAPE values for Friday and Saturday
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model/displayMod.php?var=eta_sfc_cape&hours=hr42hr48

 

[Angie Norris]

Yep, going to get a cold front, but not much else. Looked more suspicious earlier in the week, but in typical GFS fashion, all wishcast and no punch when it came down to it.

 

[J Kinkaid]

What are ya'lls thought on Thursday / Friday of next week ? Looks like a pretty good chance of severe weather .

 

[Brian Stertz]

Timing on euro and gfs looks like it's more of a Tue. and maybe Wed. severe wx event...with most of the "action" shunted over to E.Arkansas, Mississippi, and Louisiana...that would be the climatologically favored location for this action to occur as well.