• After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.

    I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.

    For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.

    From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.

    Sincerely, Jeff D.

Southwestern Monsoon 2021

Warren Faidley

Supporter
Joined
May 7, 2006
Messages
2,593
Location
Mos Isley Space Port
Figured it was time to start a discussion thread for the 2021 monsoon. I know there are more and more chasers heading to NM and AZ for the season, including dust storm events which are likely just a few weeks away.

Models (GFS and ECMWF) are trying to bring in precipitable water by late next week and the typical, pre-season blast furnace is torching the desert with temps exceeding 110F by the weekend.
 
Main thing I'm wondering is whether or not this year's monsoon will be a dud like last year.
I know the last drought outlook I saw showed drought-conditions continuing right on through the end of September. for a large part of the country. which isn't a good sign. (though I did notice the eastern half of CO is not included, so maybe we'll get some more normal rain here?)
Is there any sort of long-term forecast/outlook that specifically looks at the monsoon?
 
UPDATE: SE. AZ. Lots of needed rainfall during the early season, but lightning has been C-. Fire season risks have been greatly reduced. Amazingly, no major haboob has occurred between PHX and TUS. Can't remember a recent year where this has occurred. Steering currents have been moving storms in bogus directions, mostly from the N/NE. Not good for consolidating W/NW outflows into the lower deserts. There is still some potential for a haboob, given the famous, dust bed of insanity between TUS and PHX, is still bone dry. Once it rains, surface vegetation and a sun-baked mud cap really stabilizes the dust. I'll likely go out and take a peek this weekend. Looks like some potential for next week, as surface drying accelerates and favorable instability / storm movement is expected.rsoim0-10_20210708_12z_swus.jpg
 
It seems like more chasers have jumped on monsoon chasing this year than in previous years. I am seeing a lot of photos coming out of Arizona over the past couple of weeks with a plethora of incredible shots of lightning over the Grand Canyon. Wish I could make it out there.
 
Chasers have picked a great year to pursue the monsoon. The lack of westerlies, record PWAT values and a train of disturbances in the eastern / southern flow are contributing to one of the best monsoons ever. Tucson is about an inch away from the wettest July on record. Ironically, we never had the mega-haboob this season, not so much because of the rain, but upper-level flow moved storms in unfavorable directions -- or no direction. Parts of SE Arizona look like a jungle from the rain -- with anacondas and spider monkeys to arrive shortly.
 
Went camping last weekend, and I must say...
Up in the mountains its pretty amazing to see wildflowers blooming this time of year, and even the grass/weeds being still atleast somewhat green. Looked more like spring than late summer! Normally this time of year most everything is dried out & 'dead' Certainly glad to see it.
 

Attachments

  • 8-22a.jpg
    8-22a.jpg
    430.3 KB · Views: 0
Even at home some of the weeds & grasses in fields & along roads are still green or somewhat green... that too isn't something you see often this late in the season. I know the mountains have been decent monsoon rains, but even down here we've gotten a bit. have had a few nice little thunderstorms to watch off in the distance :)
 
Back
Top