Lanny Dean
EF5
Thoughts From An Additional Tour Owner With No Hidden Agenda:
Let me start by stating the fact that I wasn’t there. Due to the recent issue with one of the DOW trucks near Magnum, I decided to play/keep my tour guests on the southern target for obvious reasons. Let me also say that I’ve spent countless hours reading and re-reading every post in this thread prior to posting. I’ve studied the position of impact, watched the videos of others, I’ve spent countless hours going over the data and I believe I have a good understanding of the event meteorological speaking.
All of that said, I still come to the conclusion that I wasn’t there and I simply cannot and will not make the judgement call on their position or the thought process behind it.
My next few comments are not meant disparaging, nor personal attacks nor ad hock, nor do they have any hidden agendas - they are merely the facts that I believe we should all know and understand prior to making any assumptions or speculating and then forming even a basic opinion on the issue at hand. They may piss some people off but they are facts that should be known, understood and are relevant to this situation. My thoughts and response in twofold thought process below:
1) As a tour owner, I think there is a line (as tour owners) that we simply cannot cross.
While I do believe we should hold ourselves accountable, I DON’T believe that another tour company should “police” this event/situation in any way. This is not only counter productive, it only reflects the position one tour company has on another. Which IMO SHOULD NOT be allowed and I think the mod’s should at the very least, control before this becomes a shit show. To put that into perspective, you have one “tour company” (a competitor) that has stated their position - but the thought process behind that position is strictly business based, and should be understood as such. This is a far cry from being a reasonable response for ethical or even responsible chasing. I think there is a fine line that many are crossing in this thread and that is just one of them.
2) I do not believe that “shaming” or what has been suggested, implied or otherwise is a viable solution given past history of some of those that are pushing this agenda.
Again, no personal attacks meant or made - just stating the facts...
Some of those pushing for this type of agenda: We have a meteorologist working for a TV station in ICT who was involved in a MVA while chasing and it was broadcast live on air. He had no control over the situation but could have been held liable to some degree. Was he shamed? Do even half of the people posting here know about it? I could share the video for those interested?
We have a highly skilled veteran who’s only dog in the fight is with the verbiage of “Storm Chasing” which IMO should have absolutely zero meaning. We have, as mentioned, another tour companies post which clearly reflects a business based thought process.
We have another highly skilled and experienced chaser who has been in this very type situation but was lucky that the same thing didn’t happen to him. I could go on and on and highlight some of the actions of some of these individuals personally (some VERY recently) to reflect my point of view but it would bring no value or real insight to this thread at this time and may only be construed as a personal attack - which is not my position, point or agenda.
My point is simply that we have ALL put ourselves into a position that we probably should not have been in. Or maybe we made a split second judgment call due to whatever situation we were in, which caused us to be in a position that we couldn’t control or simply didn’t expect. A prime example of this would be the same ICT meteorologist during his stint on Storm Chasers.
One act of a split second judgment call should not be construed as irresponsible chasing nor behavior *unless* there is a pattern to suggest otherwise. I’ve known Roger for years, he is not only a friend but also a colleague...and there is simply no pattern. Period. Thus, I cannot help but question the “ethical” position of some, most particularly those that hold the position as described above.
As a recent graduate BS Atmospheric Sciences, a BSEE, a 29 year veteran and also a tour owner, I understand the complexity and gravity of the situation. This post is not meant to showcase otherwise. It is merely my thoughts on the matter.
I should state upfront that In those 29 years, I don’t recall ever witnessing a “rain wrapped” satellite tornado. To have such, one would need a very special set of circumstances, (considering the applicable rule of entropy and additional meteorological laws)...likes of which I have personally never seen. As such, I have spent countless hours pouring over the data, trying to understand what exactly happened and how. Not because I wanted to play the blame game...but more so because I felt it very important to hopefully not be put in the same situation in the future with my tours.
The highlight is that this shouldn’t happen to a tour company (which I agree) but hinted that risks taken while “solo” might be acceptable. I can’t argue this as I also take some of these same risks prior to the tour season and have succumbed to these risks by being hit by a tornado. It isn’t fun. It isn’t a fu^>^ing joy ride. It is pure terror and it will move you to the core. But I would be remiss if I didn’t again mention the fact that while we collectively believe that we have things totally under control, this is the farthest from the truth. And it doesn’t matter if you are running a tour, or chasing solo. Things happen beyond our control. We make split second decisions that ultimately play cause and effect. The outcome of such we simply don’t truly know until it happens.
All of that said, while I have spent those countless hours going over this event, I understand the data may not suggest that there was indeed a satellite tornado. I cannot comment on this directly with facts as I was not there. I can only ingest the information from others who were there and my interpretations of said data. And while I believe I understand what may have happened, I am still only guessing. For those who were not there (meaning in the tour vans or taking part of the tour) isn’t this the most plausible and best position to take? After all, assuming does nothing for the cause.
What I do know, and what we could all probably agree on is this, meteorologically speaking, this was a shit show of a storm. Very HP, what appears to be a merger of *possible* mesocyclone shift just as we see and have experienced in the Deep South and a position related the this merger (looking at nearest 88D - understanding spat differences ect...and prelim Damage assessment, including using the vans as DIs) It’s a worst case scenario and it just so happens that a highly known and reputable tour company was involved.
We could argue the fact of satellite or not, we could argue positioning, we could argue judgment call...but IMO what does any of that prove and how will it help? IMO it doesn’t help. I for one am just thankful that the situation did not have a deadly outcome and at he end of the day shouldn’t we all be?
Everyone on this forum, everyone in this thread is guilty as hell of doing dumb shit or making a bad judgment call or getting wrapped up in the moment at one time or another. If Roger believes that it was a sat tor as has had been stated, I for one believe his thought process and convictions.
As for his company and any issues in the future, unlike other tour companies and or people, I for one will support him to the best of my ability. The words competition, dislike, hate, jealousy, ect..should go out the window when it comes to a situation like this and human life. I can only hope others may understand that.
-LFD
Let me start by stating the fact that I wasn’t there. Due to the recent issue with one of the DOW trucks near Magnum, I decided to play/keep my tour guests on the southern target for obvious reasons. Let me also say that I’ve spent countless hours reading and re-reading every post in this thread prior to posting. I’ve studied the position of impact, watched the videos of others, I’ve spent countless hours going over the data and I believe I have a good understanding of the event meteorological speaking.
All of that said, I still come to the conclusion that I wasn’t there and I simply cannot and will not make the judgement call on their position or the thought process behind it.
My next few comments are not meant disparaging, nor personal attacks nor ad hock, nor do they have any hidden agendas - they are merely the facts that I believe we should all know and understand prior to making any assumptions or speculating and then forming even a basic opinion on the issue at hand. They may piss some people off but they are facts that should be known, understood and are relevant to this situation. My thoughts and response in twofold thought process below:
1) As a tour owner, I think there is a line (as tour owners) that we simply cannot cross.
While I do believe we should hold ourselves accountable, I DON’T believe that another tour company should “police” this event/situation in any way. This is not only counter productive, it only reflects the position one tour company has on another. Which IMO SHOULD NOT be allowed and I think the mod’s should at the very least, control before this becomes a shit show. To put that into perspective, you have one “tour company” (a competitor) that has stated their position - but the thought process behind that position is strictly business based, and should be understood as such. This is a far cry from being a reasonable response for ethical or even responsible chasing. I think there is a fine line that many are crossing in this thread and that is just one of them.
2) I do not believe that “shaming” or what has been suggested, implied or otherwise is a viable solution given past history of some of those that are pushing this agenda.
Again, no personal attacks meant or made - just stating the facts...
Some of those pushing for this type of agenda: We have a meteorologist working for a TV station in ICT who was involved in a MVA while chasing and it was broadcast live on air. He had no control over the situation but could have been held liable to some degree. Was he shamed? Do even half of the people posting here know about it? I could share the video for those interested?
We have a highly skilled veteran who’s only dog in the fight is with the verbiage of “Storm Chasing” which IMO should have absolutely zero meaning. We have, as mentioned, another tour companies post which clearly reflects a business based thought process.
We have another highly skilled and experienced chaser who has been in this very type situation but was lucky that the same thing didn’t happen to him. I could go on and on and highlight some of the actions of some of these individuals personally (some VERY recently) to reflect my point of view but it would bring no value or real insight to this thread at this time and may only be construed as a personal attack - which is not my position, point or agenda.
My point is simply that we have ALL put ourselves into a position that we probably should not have been in. Or maybe we made a split second judgment call due to whatever situation we were in, which caused us to be in a position that we couldn’t control or simply didn’t expect. A prime example of this would be the same ICT meteorologist during his stint on Storm Chasers.
One act of a split second judgment call should not be construed as irresponsible chasing nor behavior *unless* there is a pattern to suggest otherwise. I’ve known Roger for years, he is not only a friend but also a colleague...and there is simply no pattern. Period. Thus, I cannot help but question the “ethical” position of some, most particularly those that hold the position as described above.
As a recent graduate BS Atmospheric Sciences, a BSEE, a 29 year veteran and also a tour owner, I understand the complexity and gravity of the situation. This post is not meant to showcase otherwise. It is merely my thoughts on the matter.
I should state upfront that In those 29 years, I don’t recall ever witnessing a “rain wrapped” satellite tornado. To have such, one would need a very special set of circumstances, (considering the applicable rule of entropy and additional meteorological laws)...likes of which I have personally never seen. As such, I have spent countless hours pouring over the data, trying to understand what exactly happened and how. Not because I wanted to play the blame game...but more so because I felt it very important to hopefully not be put in the same situation in the future with my tours.
The highlight is that this shouldn’t happen to a tour company (which I agree) but hinted that risks taken while “solo” might be acceptable. I can’t argue this as I also take some of these same risks prior to the tour season and have succumbed to these risks by being hit by a tornado. It isn’t fun. It isn’t a fu^>^ing joy ride. It is pure terror and it will move you to the core. But I would be remiss if I didn’t again mention the fact that while we collectively believe that we have things totally under control, this is the farthest from the truth. And it doesn’t matter if you are running a tour, or chasing solo. Things happen beyond our control. We make split second decisions that ultimately play cause and effect. The outcome of such we simply don’t truly know until it happens.
All of that said, while I have spent those countless hours going over this event, I understand the data may not suggest that there was indeed a satellite tornado. I cannot comment on this directly with facts as I was not there. I can only ingest the information from others who were there and my interpretations of said data. And while I believe I understand what may have happened, I am still only guessing. For those who were not there (meaning in the tour vans or taking part of the tour) isn’t this the most plausible and best position to take? After all, assuming does nothing for the cause.
What I do know, and what we could all probably agree on is this, meteorologically speaking, this was a shit show of a storm. Very HP, what appears to be a merger of *possible* mesocyclone shift just as we see and have experienced in the Deep South and a position related the this merger (looking at nearest 88D - understanding spat differences ect...and prelim Damage assessment, including using the vans as DIs) It’s a worst case scenario and it just so happens that a highly known and reputable tour company was involved.
We could argue the fact of satellite or not, we could argue positioning, we could argue judgment call...but IMO what does any of that prove and how will it help? IMO it doesn’t help. I for one am just thankful that the situation did not have a deadly outcome and at he end of the day shouldn’t we all be?
Everyone on this forum, everyone in this thread is guilty as hell of doing dumb shit or making a bad judgment call or getting wrapped up in the moment at one time or another. If Roger believes that it was a sat tor as has had been stated, I for one believe his thought process and convictions.
As for his company and any issues in the future, unlike other tour companies and or people, I for one will support him to the best of my ability. The words competition, dislike, hate, jealousy, ect..should go out the window when it comes to a situation like this and human life. I can only hope others may understand that.
-LFD