Andy Wehrle
EF5
I have noticed a few instances in the past where the SPC has issued a Public Severe Weather Outlook, yet never upgraded the categorical convective outlook risk beyond Moderate. A couple of examples are June 08, 1995 (Pampa, Allison, Kellerville, TX), and October 04, 1998 (Oklahoma October Outbreak). In the SPC's ZIP files of archived products, the 6-5-95 convective outlooks include the wording "a public severe weather outlook will be issued shortly" but none of them go to high risk. Likewise for 10-04-98. Eric Nguyen's page even has both archived PWOs from that day. http://www.mesoscale.ws/98~documents/#981004
Does the SPC still do this? I wonder what the criteria are seeing as there are many MDT risk days on which PWOs are never issued.
Does the SPC still do this? I wonder what the criteria are seeing as there are many MDT risk days on which PWOs are never issued.