Prediction: When and where will the first hurricane

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Apr 13, 2005
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Jackson, Ms
Though it would be fun to toss out some wags (wild a$$ guess). So when and where do you think the first hurricane will hit the continental U.S. this year and what is the name going to be? I will go ahead and post a link for this years names.
http://geography.about.com/od/physicalgeog...a/2005names.htm

I think it will be Dennis and will hit between Corpus and Brownsville on July 18th. I don't know why I wouldn't say Fl after last year and Arlene but I guess Tx is due.
 
I'll play ... I'm going to say it will be Franklin (just because I think it will sound funny to have a hurricane named Franklin), and the eyewall will pass just north of Myrtle Beach, South Carolina on July 28th as a Category 4 storm that will be downgraded to Cat 3 just before making landfall.
 
Wow, I am terrible at guessing. I will probably be really wrong! :lol: I think it will be Emily (just because I know someone named Emily) and I think it will make landfall near Gulfport, Mississippi on August 12 (this is the day that I start school :x and it would be very hard to chase on this day). Yep, this is a wild guess! :lol:
 
Hmm...well since these are all long shots - why not got for the biggest one. :)

Hurricane Zelda, Cat 3, Oct 13, San Diego CA. Can't forget about the EastPac you know.

A more probable one...Cindy, Cat 2, Aug 3, Gulfport MS.
 
Cindy, cat 3, Jacksonville, FL, August 1.

I know a real feisty Cindy and cat 3's a pretty feisty way to start the season.
 
I think Florida will be hit hard again this year. Just a feeling.
 
West Coast Florida - Late July Cat 2 Max.
Only because my boss is flying over from the UK on the 18th to do some sea trials for some electronics gear we sell at work.
Last time he was over he caught Jeanne so who knows.
 
Latest GFS model

Just looked at the long range fantasy prog. (GFS) Check out the 18Z run for the following weekend. Activity in the Lesser Antilles may be the harbinger to what may happen in Fla. in about 6 days.

I would say minimal cat 1...south Fla. next Sun. 7/10.
 
Dennis
July 29
Bayou LaBatre, AL

If it had stayed on its previous track before going a bit right this would have almost been a direct hit. Date was only 19 days off. 75 miles off as measured on a mapping program.
 
I think it will be Dennis and will hit between Corpus and Brownsville on July 18th. I don't know why I wouldn't say Fl after last year and Arlene but I guess Tx is due.


Damn trough. I was about 400 miles off but got the name right and was only 8 days off. So much for Tx being due.
 
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