New Chase Case #1

[Scott Weberpal]

Given my starting spot was Hebron, NE and I wouldn't make it into Northeast or Northcentral Iowa where the initial tornadoes are in time; I'd be moving straight north on Hwy 81 toward Norfolk to get on the front (and what looks like weak low pressure in the area) and hope for something to go up on the western end of the front near the low. Looks like the a nice cu field in the area and slightly backed surface flow, so I'll sit along the Hwy 81 corridor between Norfolk, NE and Yankton, SD and hope for something to go sout and west of the MO River.

 

[Danny Neal]

I think I am going to stick it out in Great Bend or thereabouts. The dryline is out to the west near DDC (95/39 SW wind) But those Cu in Central KS grabbed my attention as well. ICT area on down to the south has slightly backed winds. I feel confident I can catch anything from down there. Just hoping I don't get burned by convection firing near KC - TOP

 

[Bob Hartig]

Think I'm gonna drop down to US 136, mosey west, and see what happens with that Cu field on the other side of the clearing out ahead. Be nice if surface winds were backed, but I'll take southerlies; if a storm forms, it may just back the winds for me.

 

[Chris Allington]

I am gonna head north on HWY 6 to get closer to the front... I'm now in West Point, NE. After about 45 minuets, and I can see the towers of those two little blips in extreme Western Iowa.

 

[Josh Richardson]

Thankfully, I stayed put in my home area and am already on the currently warned storm.

Honestly though, looking at the 1800z sat image this event looked really familiar and now after the latest data and sat image I still cant seem to place my finger on what event this was. Considering this is in my neck of the woods Im kinda surprised by that.

 

[Michael P. Morris]

I decided to roll eastward towards Omaha, in the hopes that a storm will fire up here and travel northeast into deeper moisture along the NE-IA border. Now that the OFB has decided to push back to the north, it looks like the best spot is SE Nebraska.

 

[Josh Richardson]

Thankfully, I stayed put in my home area and am already on the currently warned storm.

Honestly though, looking at the 1800z sat image this event looked really familiar and now after the latest data and sat image I still cant seem to place my finger on what event this was. Considering this is in my neck of the woods Im kinda surprised by that.

Ok, I am heading back to the west to let the latest development in West Central IA come to me.

TARGET: Humboldt County IA

 

[Damon Scott Hynes]

there's the continuation of the NE IA stuff forming a DMX-Red Oak-Mound City line, but since I went to Wahoo, I'm going to drift west toward Columbus, NE.

That 90/65 in central KS keeps me from heading down there. If you're in Lexington or Ainsworth, game over. Whatever happens in NE/KS is going to be very localized.

 

[scott r currens]

My bust detector is going off for KS. The easy play from Salina is to drop south to the weak convergence line/CU in central KS. That seems like a low probability play. I don't have to work tomorrow so I'll make a run at E Central Nebraska. 237-miles to Greeley, NE if I don't jump on a supercell before I get there.

Target: Greeley, NE

 

[David Wolfson]

The upper forcing feature near La Junta two hours later has moved to the KS border at Tribune/Sharon Springs. It's even firing a few towers west of Garden City in high 30s dews. The Burlington obs -- 87/29 SW 15 -- gets my attention as does the diffuse surface low south of McCook. The front has decomposed into boundaries one of which appears just northeast of me in Red Cloud.

The bottom line is I'll stay put for now drinking diet Mountain Dew and watching sat and radar.

 

[Verne Carlson]

I'm way too far out of position to have gotten to IA. I like the slightly backed winds in Wichita and am now making my way from Great Bend, KS over to Hutchinson and posibly to Newton waiting for the CU field to start building to turkey towers.

 

[Dennis Sherrod]

I'm staying put for awhile. I like it here for now.

 

[Joel Wright]

Been sitting on my ass in Liberal Kansas since 12z, but decided to drop about 50 miles south into the northern Texas Panhandle near Spearman.

 

[Tim Segraves]

I'm probably going to slowly start heading south and east towards McPherson so I'm far enough out in front of anything that starts firing.

 

[Brian Stertz]

I am going to play this surface convergence boundary (Great Bend to Alva) to my west for initiation. Whether this happens before dark, I am a bit nervous. The T-Td depressions are a little high but are likely to come down as the wave moves in and winds begin to back a little more as sunset approaches. Lapse rates should be also pretty favorable for my area in SC Kansas too for some big daddy supercells. NE Iowa does look good at this point (20z) ....but we'll see if Kansas lights up and gets after it towards sunset. Better get the gear lined up soon after I grab a quick dinner to go...with my jumbo Mtn. Dew. Still parked in Kingman KS. Yee ha....love the sound of ripping south winds and meadowlarks in the afternoon. Hey there goes Jeff and Kathryn !!