New Chase Case #1

I'm on beer #4 and loving life in Medicine Lodge (it's ok, Bridget is driving today). The pizza's gone, and I'm about to tab out, and go sit on the west side of town to wait for 6 o' clock magic.
 
I'm going where I didn't go the first time...Mulvane, KS.

Come on dude, if you really did look up the day, keep it to yourself and leave the guessing for the rest of us. It's no fun to spoil it for everyone else. :rolleyes:

Anyways...I'll head south to Medicine Lodge, KS and play the dryline and hope I don't capbust. Be nice to at least have some surface obs instead of radar/vis sat!
 
LOL...naw what I said was a total guess it just sorta reminded me of that day :) Also could be the Sitka bust day lol...dunno need a few frames later on the radar and the satellite
:)
 
I'm going to park my car on the west edge of Newton, KS and await initiation. I'm right at the junction of I-135 and Highway 50, so I can adjust north towards McPherson, west towards Hutchinson or south towards Wichita as necessary.
 
I'm gonna join Shane at medicine lodge and hope he buys me a couple beers. I like supreme stuffed crust by the way Shane. Looks like photogenic tornados right at dusk with the setting sun illuminating a nice stovepipe.
 
I don't see this event occuring anywhere in W. KS, the 850/700 trof axis at 12z is already in W. KS (with shortwave ridging to the west) and I would assume it is moving NEward. 18z visible satellite indicates limited LL moisture in W. KS (no cu = limited moisture, little mixing).

My target is NC/NE KS into SC/SE NE. I guess Hebron, NE would be as good of a starting spot as any. I would expect storms to initiate along or east of the Hwy 281 corridor.
 
I decided to mosey up 281 from Pratt to Great Bend. About a 45 minute to an hour ride. Still puts me in prime position for the southern KS area and gives me a shot at NC KS.
 
I am camped out in Kingman watching some towers perculate all quads. Hurry up wave....need something during the daylight !! Some data would really be nice this late afternoon hour. On my second cherry limeade from Sonic and getting that nervous stomach that pops up pre-initiation. Oh I think a MCD is out....hmmmm.
 
It is now 2000z

Tornadoes Reported in NE IA:

TORNADO
1928: 2 W HOLLAND IA
(DMX)

TORNADO
1938: 3 N GRUNDY CENTER IA
TORNADO CROSSING HIGHWAY 14 WITH DEBRIS. STATE PATROL REPORT.(DMX)

TORNADO 12
1949: 7 SWDIKE IA
MOVING NORTHEAST TOWARD DIKE.(DMX)

Do you speed North East to catch up with the tornadoes in IA, or do you wait for your own storms to develop:

2000z Surface:
2aqmiq.jpg


2000z Vis Sat:
akk7yh.jpg


2000z Radar:
35a28ut.jpg


Final Update will be at (real) 1800z tomorrow, if you want this time made later/earlier just PM me.
 
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